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March 2024

Our Philip Young, Portfolio Manager, shared his views on the highly anticipated IPO of Reddit and also answers a question “Do you own Salesforce and or Tokyo Electron?.

We invite you to watch the full segment that BNN Bloomberg have made available on their site by clicking here.

February 2024

This month’s blog post was written by Stephanie Gabor, Partner at Torys LLP.

For a Canadian, marrying an American citizen may have its advantages, but from a tax perspective, an American spouse is complicated and expensive.  Assets owned by the American spouse will be subject to the U.S. estate tax at death – the estate tax is imposed at marginal rates of 18% up to 40% on the fair market value of all assets (wherever situated) owned at death.  Fortunately, with advance planning, it’s possible to manage estate tax exposure while still ensuring that a surviving American spouse has access to – and a significant degree of control over – inherited assets.

For a married couple that includes a Canadian spouse (who is not a U.S. person) and a U.S. spouse (e.g. a U.S. citizen), the following considerations may be helpful in navigating their estate plan:

  1. U.S. Gift and Estate Tax Exemption. The current (and anticipated) gift and estate tax exemption will provide the backdrop for estate planning for the couple. This exemption refers to the amount that a U.S. person can transfer during life or at death to any person free of U.S. gift or estate tax.[1]  Under current law, the estate tax exemption is $13.61 million (USD), but absent new tax legislation, it will fall by one-half at the end of 2025.  Ideally, the value of assets owned by the U.S. spouse should remain below the current (or anticipated) estate tax exemption, however, the volatility of the exemption makes this a moving target and, as a result, a more prudent approach may be to limit the U.S. spouse’s ownership of assets as much as possible (after taking into account other financial, tax and legal considerations).
  2. Joint Ownership of Assets. Joint ownership of an asset is a common planning technique used to avoid probate at the death of the first owner (the asset passes by operation of law rather than under a will which may be subject to probate).  In the case of a U.S. spouse, joint ownership may expose the property to U.S. estate tax:
    1. if the Canadian spouse dies first, then the U.S. spouse becomes the sole owner and the full value of the property will be subject to estate tax if the U.S. spouse still owns the property at death; or
    2. if the U.S. spouse dies first, the full value of the property will be subject to estate tax unless the U.S. spouse can show that the Canadian spouse paid for all or part of the asset or the property was received as a gift (in either case the value subject to estate tax will be reduced accordingly).

A more prudent approach may be for the Canadian spouse to own the asset him/herself. Under the Canadian spouse’s will, if the U.S. spouse survives, the asset could pass to a trust qualifying as a “spousal trust” for Canadian income tax purposes which (if properly structured) would not be subject to U.S. estate tax at the U.S. spouse’s subsequent death (as described in more detail under #3 below).

  1. Spousal Trust. The will of the Canadian spouse may direct that assets intended to benefit the U.S. spouse pass to a “spousal trust” (which qualifies for the spousal rollover for Canadian income tax purposes) rather than outright.  Provided the U.S. spouse’s interest in and control over the trust are properly circumscribed (as described below), assets held in the trust should not be subject to U.S. estate tax at the U.S. spouse’s death.[2]

The U.S. spouse can be given a significant degree of control over the spousal trust without rendering the trust taxable for U.S. estate tax purposes.  For example:

  1. The U.S. spouse may act as sole trustee with complete control over the investment of the trust assets;
  2. The U.S. spouse may be able to determine who inherits the trust fund at his/her death (subject to certain limitations); and/or
  3. The U.S. spouse may be given the power to make distributions from the trust to him/herself, provided those distributions are for his/her health, education, maintenance and support. The U.S. spouse may be appointed to act with (or may have the power to appoint) an “independent trustee” who would have broad discretion to make distributions to the U.S. spouse for any purpose.

Keeping these strategies in mind when executing an estate plan may help a “cross-border” couple achieve their dispositive goals while minimizing exposure to the U.S. estate tax.

[1] There is additional estate tax relief under the Convention between Canada and the United States of America with Respect to Taxes on Income and on Capital (e.g. for certain gifts to charities).

[2] Assuming it is a Canadian trust, the trust would be subject to the U.S. trust anti-deferral regime, also known as the “throwback tax” and would need to be managed accordingly.

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
 Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
 Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
 Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
 Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
 In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

Michael Brown, CPA, CA, CFA, Lead Portfolio Manager explains how avoiding drama in investments led to a 20.9% return in 2023.

Click Here to read more.

January 2024

This month’s blog post was co-authored by Daniel Stober, Partner, and Nikita Mathew, Associate, at Torkin Manes LLP.

Over the past decade, it has become increasingly common for Canadians to provide financial assistance to family members to help with the purchase of a first home. A recent survey revealed that 35% of first-time homebuyers in Canada received financial assistance from a relative with the purchase of their home[1] .

Before providing financial assistance to a loved one to help with the purchase of a home, however, it is critical to consider the family and estate law implications of such assistance.

In Ontario, the Family Law Act (“FLA”) sets out the process by which property is divided between married spouses upon separation, which is known as the “equalization” regime. In essence, on separation, the spouses will each calculate their respective “net family property”, which is the increase in the value of the spouses’ assets and debts from the date of marriage to the date of separation. Absent an agreement between the spouses to the contrary, on separation, the spouse with the higher net family property figure will owe the other spouse a payment that is equal to half the difference between the two net family property figures (known as an “equalization payment”).

In the event of a spouse’s death during marriage, the surviving spouse may choose to either take the “equalization payment” in the same manner as on separation, or take what is provided for the surviving spouse under the deceased spouse’s Will.

The FLA does provide some special protection to gifts given to a child during their marriage. The equalization regime typically allows traceable gifts to be excluded from the calculation of net family property. However, as soon as a gift is used to purchase, maintain, or improve a matrimonial home, it loses its special status and the value of the gift will be shared equally between the child and their spouse upon a separation, or, potentially, upon the death of one spouse.

Even in the case of unmarried spouses, if a child is living with their partner in the home a parent helped them purchase, there is a risk that their partner could make a trust claim to share in the value of the home upon separation.

Accordingly, without proper planning, the funds you provide to a loved one to help with the purchase of a home could be shared with the loved one’s spouse on separation or death.

One way to protect the funds provided to a child for the purchase of a matrimonial home during a marriage is for the funds to be loaned rather than gifted. This changes the way the sum of money is treated under the FLA, making it a debt to be repaid to the parent. If funds are to be loaned for the purchase of a home, it is imperative that the loan be properly documented. This can be done, for example, through a promissory note that outlines a repayment plan, security for the loan, expectations for repayment and other similar details.

However, the best protection to ensure that a child retains the entirety of a parent’s gift towards a home is for the child and their partner to enter into a cohabitation agreement or a marriage contract (colloquially known as a “pre-nup”). This type of agreement can set out the child and their partner’s explicit intentions as to how to deal with their home upon a separation, including how a parent’s gift should be treated. A properly drafted cohabitation agreement or marriage contract can exclude a gift used for a matrimonial home from equalization on separation or death.

From an estates perspective, it is important to consider the effect of a gift or loan to one child on the overall estate plan. For example, if the parents have two children and their overall plan is to treat the children equally, a gift or loan to one child, or gifts or loans in unequal amounts between the children, must be accounted for in the parents’ Wills in order to achieve equality between the children.

Despite the recent uncertainty in Ontario’s real estate market, it seems likely that assistance from family members will continue to be a key support to young people purchasing homes. It is important that legal advice be sought before any financial assistance is provided to ensure that your legacy is protected.

[1] https://financialpost.com/real-estate/first-time-homebuyers-worried-afford-down-payments
DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
 Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
 Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
 Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
 Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
 In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

December 2023

This month’s blog post was written by Megan Duncan, Assistant Vice President, Associate Investment Counsellor at Cidel.

Many Canadians are increasing their charitable giving initiatives as a way to give back to causes that are close to their heart and to create a legacy of philanthropic giving for generations to come. A great amount of wealth will be passed down from one generation to the next in the coming decades, and many families are looking to use this as an opportunity to pass down their philanthropic values, impart virtues and perpetuate the tradition of generosity. Charitable giving can be facilitated through three primary means – direct donations, private foundations and donor advised funds1.

Donating directly to charities is a simple and easy way for individuals and families to be philanthropic to qualified donees of their choosing. Giving this way is largely appropriate when donations are made as desired and are not part of a larger wealth planning initiative. Similar to private foundations and donor advised funds, individuals can donate either cash or securities and receive a tax receipt at the time of the donation.

Private foundations are registered directly with the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) where the donor is responsible for all activities of the foundation (i.e. issuing tax receipts, screening charities to ensure they are a qualified donor as per CRA, remitting grants), including the fiduciary duty regarding management of the funds. One must be aware of the legal, administrative, and ongoing costs and duties of administering a foundation, such as tax filings and reporting requirements. Foundations are public entities and are subject to public disclosure of financial information, board members, trustees, and grants made. As such, private foundations lack anonymity.

Conversely, a primary advantage of a private foundation is that it allows donors to have control over when and where grants are made, subject to the applicable CRA rules and regulations (i.e. each year there is a stipulated minimum donation amount that must be made). Further, the foundation itself may be able to operate charitable programs itself, whereas donor advised funds cannot.

As one can imagine, the administrative responsibilities and regulatory requirements for operating a private foundation are vast and, for those without the necessary time and expertise, can be quite a burden to manage.

A Donor Advised Fund (DAF), on the other hand, is a flexible charitable vehicle registered with the CRA that allows you to grow your charitable assets tax-free and support charities of your choosing without the administrative responsibilities and costs of establishing your own private foundation.  This means more of your effort can go directly toward the causes you care deeply about. The donor receives an immediate donation receipt in the year assets are transferred to the DAF, and can recommend grants from the fund to their preferred organizations and causes over time.

DAFs can be set up quickly and easily, with the Foundation handling the administrative tasks, reporting obligations, and remittance of grants on behalf of the donor. For many individuals and families, not having to undertake such responsibilities is a key advantage to using a DAF. DAFs can be named by the donor and therefore can be as transparent or anonymous as one would like. For families looking to make an impact anonymously, DAFs are the ideal tool.

In the case of private foundations and donor advised funds, the donation of assets into the charitable vehicle results in a tax deduction and the assets can be invested and grow over time in a tax-free manner, furthering the eventual asset base available for donations. In addition to providing much needed resources to support a great cause, this tax relief may be further enhanced if you donate public securities with accrued capital gains.  By doing so, you are issued a charitable tax receipt for the fair market value of the securities but are not taxed on the gain realized at the time of making the donation.  Donating securities in-kind is more efficient to both you and the charity as you receive a larger tax credit and are able to give more to the charity you care about.

Considering the donor’s circumstances and philanthropic objectives, each charitable giving option can provide distinct advantages. Initiating a dialogue between the financial advisor and the client to assess the merits and drawbacks of each giving option marks an important initial stride toward building a lasting legacy of charitable contributions.

1 Cidel is pleased to offer both Private Foundations and Donor Advised Funds. Please contact Cidel if you would like to learn more about how we can help you achieve your charitable objectives.

 

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
 Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
 Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
 Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
 Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
 In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

November 2023

This month’s blog post was co-authored by Héléna Gagné, Partner, and Marc Roy, Associate, at Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt LLP.

There are a number of reasons why one may use a personal holding corporation as a part of her or his estate planning. In particular, it may have received tax-free intercorporate dividends from an operating company which were used to acquire investments in the holding company and benefitting from a deferral of the tax that would have otherwise been payable on those dividends had they been paid to an individual instead of the holding company. It may also be that an individual has transferred assets or investments to a holding company and introduced a family trust as part of a plan to pass property to one’s children while minimizing tax on death by deferring the realization of capital gains to the next generation.

In addition to these deferral advantages, using a holding company may be useful when it comes to making charitable donations in light of the recent changes to the alternative minimum tax (AMT). Under the new AMT rules, only 50% of the donation tax credit for charitable gifts made by individuals is allowed when determining whether the AMT applies and, depending on all the circumstances, can result in significant tax owing despite making a large charitable gift. The AMT does not apply to corporations and making charitable gifts from a holding corporation remains an effective strategy to support important causes in a tax-efficient manner.

There are, however, certain downsides that are important to be aware of. In our Canadian tax system, we have a general principle referred to as “integration” pursuant to which the total amount of tax paid at the corporate level and at the personal level on corporate income distributed to an individual shareholder should come out to the same amount as if the income was earned directly by the individual. However, this principle does not always work out perfectly; when it comes to capital gains earned by a holding corporation, in particular, the total amount of tax that has to be paid is slightly greater than if the capital gain is realized directly by an individual.

A much more important potential downside, but one that can be avoided with proper planning, is the potential for double or even triple tax upon death.

Generally, on a person’s death, there is a deemed disposition of their capital property and realization of any latent capital gains, giving rise to tax on those gains. But there can also be tax at the corporate level (e.g., upon a sale of assets by the corporation), and on the windup of the corporation or on distribution of its assets to an individual who inherits the shares.

Consider a parent who owns the shares of a holding company with investments that have appreciated in value, and who leaves those holding company shares to his or her child in his or her will.

If the parent simply held the investments personally, on death the parent would realize a capital gain on the appreciated value of the investments, which would be subject to tax in the estate in respect of the parent’s final taxation year. The child would inherit the investments with full basis and would only be taxed in the future on any further gains.

With the investments held in a holding company, on the other hand:

  • The parent’s estate pays tax on the capital gain in respect of the holding company shares;
  • When the holding company sells the investments to distribute their value, it realizes another capital gain and pays tax at the corporate level, effectively taxing the same gain twice;
  • If the holding company also makes distributions to the child, the child pays tax on the taxable portion of the dividend received.
  • The child will have capital losses in respect of the holding company shares, but the use of those losses is limited and insufficient to offset the additional tax.

This negative outcome can be prevented with good post-mortem planning, but the post-mortem planning can only be executed with good planning during life in anticipation. In particular, it is important to give the flexibility in your will to your executors to proceed with reorganizations of your holdings. The legal structure of your holdings might also be arranged prior to death in accordance with your estate planning goals with an eye to avoiding any tax pitfalls.

Another common situation that is important to plan for is the possibility of cross-border heirs to your estate. Making distributions to a beneficiary in the U.S. or other countries can add numerous layers of complexity. Where a U.S. beneficiary stands to inherit shares of a Canadian holding company, different strategies may be applied before death to prepare and to minimize the risk of double taxation between Canada and the U.S.

Cidel’s team of professionals can assist you in assessing all of your planning needs and can refer you to appropriate tax specialists to address and mitigate these and other potential pitfalls. It is important to involve and coordinate between your lawyer, accountant, tax specialist and wealth management team, who may play the role of chef d’orchestre, and always ensuring a holistic approach to your entire situation and your potential tax concerns.

 

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website. 
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice.  
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such. 
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

October 2023

Can high quality businesses create their own luck? Click here to discover with Michael Brown the role of luck in business and how investors can better position themselves for success.

This month’s blog post was authored by Chantal Copithorn, Partner at PwC Canada.

AMT was first introduced in the 1980’s as a way to ensure a minimum amount of tax was paid on income that benefited from certain preferential deductions or incentives.   Since then, there have been minimal changes to the AMT rules. That is, until now.  The 2023 federal budget and recent draft legislation proposed a number of changes to the AMT calculation that could apply in 2024 with the intention of increasing the AMT tax rate, broadening the AMT base and better targeting the AMT to higher income earners.

For background, the AMT applies to individuals (including certain trusts) and is currently calculated as (a) the adjusted taxable income (“ATI”) less an exemption of $40,000, times (b) the lowest federal marginal tax rate (currently 15%) and reduced by (c) certain tax credits.  A taxpayer will pay the higher of their regular tax liability or the AMT tax liability.  To the extent the AMT exceeds the regular tax liability, the excess can be carried forward for seven years and can be credited against the regular taxes payable in those years, provided the regular taxes exceed the AMT in the subsequent year. Each of the provinces also have an AMT.

Proposed Changes

The draft legislation that was issued in August of 2023 proposed a number of changes to the ATI calculation including the following:

  • Including 100% of a capital gain
  • Including 30% of capital gains arising on the donation of publicly traded securities
  • Limiting the deduction for certain interest and financing charges to 50%
  • Limiting the deduction for capital loss carryforwards and capital loss carry backs to 50%
  • Limiting the deduction for allowable business investment losses to 50%
  • Limiting non-capital loss carryovers to 50%
  • Eliminate the employee stock option deduction

The proposed changes also include disallowing 50% of non-refundable tax credits including the donation tax credit.

Additionally, the legislation increased the exemption to the second highest tax bracket (approximately $173,000 for 2024, indexed annually for inflation) and the AMT rate to 20.5%.

Certain trusts will now be excluded from the AMT, including graduated rate estates, and the basic exemption will be denied for other inter-vivos trusts (other than qualified disability trusts).

Examples

Let’s look at an example to show the impact of the proposed changes to a taxpayer who earns $100,000 of investment income and has a large one-time capital gain of $1,500,000.

Regular Federal Tax Current AMT (federal only) Proposed AMT (federal only)
Capital Gain on Sale 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000
Investment Income 100,000 100,000 100,000
Taxable Income 850,000 1,300,000 1,600,000
AMT Exemption (40,000) (173,000)
Net taxable income 850,000 1,260,000 1,427,000
Tax Payable 280,500 189,000 292,535

Under the current rules, the taxpayer would pay the regular tax and not be subject to the AMT since the regular tax is higher.  Under the proposed rules, the individual would be required to pay the higher amount of AMT being $292,535, of which $12,035 represents excess AMT that will carryforward and can be applied against federal taxes payable in the next seven years.  This situation could arise where, for example, someone sells a vacation property, and does not claim their principal residence exemption.  Depending on whether the individual has significant income in a future year, they may not be able to recover this punitive tax.

Looking at another example, an individual has a capital gain of $5,000,000 in a year and makes a donation of $4,000,000 to a qualified charity.  The result is:

Regular Federal Tax Current AMT (federal only) Proposed AMT (federal only)
Capital Gain on Sale $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000
Taxable Income $2,500,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000
AMT Exemption (40,000) (173,000)
Net taxable income $2,500,000 $3,960,000 $4,827,000
Tax Liability $825,000 $594,000 $989,535
Impact of Donation ($618,750) ($618,750) ($309,375)
Tax Payable $206,250 Nil $680,160

Under the current rules, the taxpayer will pay the regular tax and will not be subject to the AMT.  The proposed rules will subject the taxpayer to the AMT at a much higher amount.  The taxpayer may consider not making such a substantial donation as a result of the additional cost.

Taxpayers considering transformational donations will also be impacted (e.g., a taxpayer making a significant donation in the year of a sale of a business).  The impact of the proposed AMT and whether they can use the AMT carryforward could be compelling and certainly will influence how much they give.  This could cause a negative impact to the charitable sector resulting in less donations.

Since the rules are proposed to apply in 2024, taxpayers could consider triggering capital gains before the end of the year; and/or making certain donations before the end of the year so that the resulting tax impact can be determined under the current AMT rules.

The Department of Finance requested submissions on various tax proposals including the AMT with a deadline of September 8, 2023.  A number of submissions were made but only time will tell whether any adjustments or relief to the draft proposals will be implemented.

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use, in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

September 2023

This month’s blog post was authored by Demetre Vasilounis, associate at Fasken Martineau DuMoulin LLP.

The estates and trusts world has taken notice of the importance of digital assets—there is no question about that. Depending on an individual’s circumstances, their email messages, files, cryptocurrency or similar assets may have great significance to their estate plan. Therefore, if an individual’s digital assets are something that advisors and clients alike need to consider for every estate planning matter, the estates and trusts industry as a whole needs to start to thinking about how to best plan for those digital assets from a legal, financial and technical perspective.

To learn more about this topic, I read the late Sharon Hartung’s novel Digital Executor: Unraveling the New Path for Estate Planning. Sharon was an engineer who spent many years working for IBM. She began writing about digital assets and estate planning after experiencing challenges administering her mother’s estate. I was drawn to Sharon’s work through her first novel Your Digital Undertaker: Exploring Death in the Digital Age in Canada, which is all about taking an information technology-based project management approach to estate planning. WhileYour Digital Undertaker is a great book for anyone who is completely unfamiliar with estate planning, Digital Executor is more geared towards advisors who have only just begun to interact with the issues necessitated by digital assets.

The crux of the book is its exploration of the meaning of the term “digital executor” relative to the digital assets of the testator’s estate. By way of background, a will can delegate different executors for different types of assets: for example, a literary executor may be appointed to deal with copyrights if the deceased was an author, or an art executor may be appointed to manage the testator’s artwork (i.e. if the estate contains a large quantity of artwork). The idea is that these distinct executors have specific skills or knowledge that will assist them in their specialized roles, and are appointed in addition to the “primary” executor who deals with the other estate assets.

Naturally, one might think that a “digital executor” should thus have exclusive domain over the testator’s digital assets. As the novel points out, there are numerous problems with this idea. For instance, consider that many people’s digital and non-digital lives are very much intertwined. This not only means, for example, that people tend to “do everything” from their phones (such as sending messages, listening to music and even tracking their health), but also that their physical assets are very much connected to their digital assets (for instance, through banking or investing apps). This is also amplified by the fact that with each passing year, and each successive generation of people, the average person’s digital footprint is getting larger and larger; naturally, this magnifies the role that digital assets play in one’s overall estate planning.

By way of example, in the 20th century, when a testator died, the executor would have been charged with the task of “going through their papers” in a home or work office and discovering information about the testator’s assets, liabilities and other affairs. While such a discovery process may still be relevant for some individuals today, in the 21st century most people’s email accounts would be the primary means of discovering such information. Indeed, email accounts contain all sorts of critical information: relationships with financial services (i.e. banks, insurance companies), outstanding billings (if, for example, the testator ran their own business or practice), or even information about other digital assets (e.g. if the testator held crypto with any third-party service provider), among many other things. In an increasingly environmentally-conscious world, it’s becoming far less likely that an individual will preserve this information on a piece of paper when an email account is simply more accessible. All of this is to say that if the executor is not able to access the testator’s email account due to a lack of planning on the testator’s part, then this could be a colossal issue for the estate.

As Digital Executor points out, the ability to access a testator’s email accounts isn’t just convenient; it’s essential. Therefore, email accounts of the testator are something that an executor would need to be able to access and manage, and accordingly are not something that should be limited to a digital executor. That’s exactly the argument that Digital Executor makes: the term “digital executor” is an invented one, as today’s executor is a digital executor and as such will need to be equipped to handle managing the testator’s digital footprint and its implications for the testator’s overall estate planning.

Of course, as the trusts and estates industry has begun to learn, a lack of proper planning can lead to being locked out of digital assets that could affect the overall ascertainable value of the estate (like email, as described above) or may themselves have an inherent value (like cryptocurrency). Such planning is important in many ways; even something like neglecting to cancel a testator’s monthly or yearly subscriptions to certain digital services can unnecessarily cost the estate hundreds (or even thousands) of dollars per year.

Digital Executor: Unraveling the New Path for Estate Planning is a great resource for helping advisors learn both the digital assets and overall estate planning questions they should be asking their clients. It’s no secret in any estate planning matter communication is key, and the increasing relevance of this topic will only continue to beget an increasing need for such communication.

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

August 2023

This month’s blog post was authored by Michael Rosen, Partner at Fogler, Rubinoff LLP

Alter ego and joint spousal or common-law partner trusts (referred to here more simply as a “joint partner trust”) are unique types of trusts that can provide tax savings and estate planning benefits. In the right circumstances, they can be a useful tool for estate planning purposes. In this blog, I provide a brief overview of their features and some considerations about their use.

Key Characteristics

Alter ego trusts and joint partner trusts have the following key characteristics (note that for simplicity, when I write “spouse” I am including “partner” as well).

  • The trust is created during the lifetime of the settlor.

In other words, the trust cannot be created by a will.

  • The settlor was 65 years or older at the time the trust was created.

The “settlor” is the person who creates a trust. These trusts are only available to those over the age of 65.

  • During the settlor’s lifetime (or the settlor and the spouse of the settlor, for a joint partner trust):
    1. the settlor (or the spouse of the settlor, for a joint partner trust) alone must be entitled to receive all of the income of the trust, and
    2. no person other than the settlor (or the spouse of the settlor, for a joint partner trust) can receive any income or capital from the trust.

For an alter ego trust, the settlor is the only person entitled to receive anything from the trust, while the settlor is still alive. For joint partner trusts, the settlor and the settlor’s spouse are the only individuals entitled to receive anything from the trust while either of them is alive.

  • The settlor and the trust must be resident in Canada.

A person who is not resident in Canada cannot create an alter ego trust. Furthermore, the trust must remain resident in Canada.

Generally speaking, the residency of a trust is determined based on where the “central management and control” of the trust actually takes place. Therefore, a non-resident trustee should generally not be appointed. This can be an issue if the settlor wants to appoint a child who is not resident in Canada. A trust company may be able to act instead to ensure the residency of the trust remains in Canada.

  • For joint partner trusts, both the settlor and the spouse of the settlor can contribute property to the trust.

The CRA has confirmed that two spouses can create a joint partner trust by jointly contributed property to the trust (and no one else contributes). Subsequently, either spouse can continue to contribute property to the trust.

Tax Treatment

Alter ego trust and the joint partner trust get special tax treatment, which is why they are used at all. These features are as follows:

  • There are no taxes paid when property is transferred into the alter ego trust.

Normally when a person transfers assets into a trust, there is a deemed disposition and capital gains taxes must be paid on those assets. By default, property transferred into an alter ego trust or joint partner trust does not result in a deemed disposition (although in some circumstances, the person transferring the funds can elect to opt out of this special tax treatment and pay taxes immediately).

  • The 21-year deemed disposition rule does not apply.

Normally, a trust is deemed to have disposed of all of its assets on the 21st anniversary of the trust and therefore would have to pay taxes on any accrued gains in the trust. Alter ego trusts and joint partner trusts are an exception to this rule. Instead, the deemed disposition will occur for alter ego trusts on the death of the settlor, and for joint partner trusts on the death of the survivor of the settlor and the settlor’s spouse.

  • The highest marginal rate applies to any taxable income generated in the trust.

This is not a helpful feature, and is in fact similar to most other trusts. These trusts must pay taxes at the highest marginal rate. However, normally trust income is paid to the settlor or the settlor’s spouse, and is then taxed at their respective marginal rate.

Benefits and Drawbacks

Alter ego trusts and joint partner trusts are often used for estate planning and probate planning purposes. In Ontario, probate taxes are called “estate administration tax.” Because trust assets are no longer directly the settlor or contributor’s property, if a will must be submitted for probate, the assets of the trust are not part of the deceased person’s estate and probate tax does not need to be paid on those assets. Furthermore, because the trust continues to exist after the death of the settlor (or the settlor’s spouse), a probated will of the deceased person should not be required and the assets can be accessed more quickly. Finally, it can be helpful when capacity is at issue to have an alternate trustee act instead of someone under a power of attorney.

Other benefits can include privacy (the value of an estate must be listed on a probate application in Ontario, which is technically a public document) and creditor-proofing (a discussion of this is well beyond the scope of this blog).

However, alter ego trusts and joint partner trusts can have drawbacks and therefore are not recommended for everyone. These drawbacks include increased complexity – conceptually, a trust is not a straightforward concept and can be difficult to understand. There also are additional expenses associated with the trust, including the initial setup and annual tax returns that will be required. There are also some negative tax implications, such as a potential mismatch on losses being applied against gains from the settlor’s personal assets and no access to the graduated rate estate rates.

If you are considering using an alter ego trust or joint partner trust or think you might benefit from one, you should talk to your lawyer or professional advisor.

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

Michael Brown, Lead Portfolio Manager CPA, CA, CFA, share a captivating tale that follows investors quest for certainty in an uncertain world.

Click here to read more.

July 2023

This month’s blog post was co-authored by Justin Irwin, Trust Officer at Cidel Trust Company, and Brodie Kirsh, Associate at Aird & Berlis LLP.

When preparing an estate plan, there are many factors to consider such as tax efficiency, cross-border issues, beneficiary designations and family dynamics. However, it is also essential to think long and hard about your choice of executor (referred to as an “estate trustee” in Ontario). While advance arrangements are incredibly important, you should be cognizant of the fact that unexpected things may happen. Seeking advice from legal and other professionals can help you anticipate issues that may arise from your choice of executor. The following scenarios aim to illustrate what can go wrong with a choice of executor and why professional assistance can be beneficial.

            Scenario 1: The Unreliable Executor

The deceased prepared a Will naming her son as executor. After she died, her son was convicted of a crime and sentenced to prison and so was unable to act.  The alternate executor named in the Will was also unfit to act. The Will was misplaced and, with neither named executor able to act, the Estate went unadministered for two years. The Estate’s debts and expenses went unpaid, and the bank that had provided the deceased with a secured line of credit took possession of her house and sold it for below market value. To resolve this situation, the family’s lawyer applied to the Court to prove a photocopy of the Will and be appointed as executor. As a result of the delays in administration, the value of the Estate was significantly reduced by taxes, legal fees, and bank fees.

As showcased with this example, it is important to consider all an individual’s qualities and behaviors to determine whether there are any ‘red flags’ that might arise in the course of an estate’s administration. If you are unsure of whether your choice of executor would be a good fit, choosing a professional trustee may be the better option to ensure proper and consistent estate administration. Additionally, a professional trustee will be able to hold the original Will in a safe and secure location to avoid the challenges of proving a lost will.

            Scenario 2: The Family Dispute

The deceased in this scenario left a Will naming one of her three children as executor. When the chosen executor was unable to act, poor communication between the three children caused delays before another one of the children was appointed as executor. Once appointed, the executor paid off the mortgage owing on the deceased’s real estate and completed significant repairs and renovations to sell the property. Unfortunately, sour relationships between the siblings provoked a series of disputes over the Estate. These included the amount the executor paid for professional services and other estate expenses, and a variety of issues involving loans and gifts to the siblings during the deceased’s lifetime. The disputes needed to be resolved via lengthy and costly litigation.

As evidenced in this example, appointing a family member to administer an estate, particularly when one sibling is appointed over another, may cause aggravation and exacerbate any existing disagreements within the family. Professional trustees, however, are not personally invested in the estate or the family’s affairs and are unlikely to have a potential conflict of interest. If you anticipate that family issues may cause future discord, it may be prudent to appoint a professional trustee to act as executor over a family member.

            Scenario 3: The Complex Estate

The deceased died in Ontario without a Will. None of his immediate family lived in Canada, and no other family member would be an obvious choice to act as executor. Beyond the logistical difficulties, the deceased had a complicated Estate for a variety of reasons: (1) he was the majority shareholder of a business and the executor needed to determine the value of the shares to be bought out by his business partners, (2) he owned property outside of Canada, meaning that it would be necessary to deal with foreign jurisdictions, and (3) the deceased was involved in litigation before his death, which the executor would need to resolve. Given this state of affairs, none of the deceased’s family were eager to act as estate trustee.

When someone has a complex estate, it may be challenging for friends and family to administer. Rather than burdening those closest to you with a complex estate administration, a professional trustee may be in the best position to effectively administer your estate due to their specialized knowledge and expertise.

Every person’s needs are different when it comes to estate planning and administration. As seen in the above examples, thinking ahead when it comes to your choice of executor can help you avoid many problems and save significant costs. If there is no suitable choice in your family or group of friends to act as executor, or if the estate will be complex or high conflict, then a professional trustee can provide the necessary experience, diligence, and impartiality. It is important to discuss these scenarios with a range of professional advisors such as lawyers, accountants, and wealth managers to ensure that there will always be a suitable executor who can continue the administration of the estate and any trusts that are included in your Will.

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

June 2023

This month’s blog post was written by Jennifer A.N. Corak, Partner at Minden Gross LLP.

In Ontario, [1] estates lawyers are routinely faced with questions regarding probate tax and probate planning.  This article discusses some often-asked questions.

What is Probate Tax?

“Probate tax” (formally, Estate Administration Tax) is paid when an application is made for a Certificate of Appointment of Estate Trustee to prove the authority of an executor to administer a deceased’s estate and, if the deceased died with a Will, to prove the validity of that Will (a process often referred to as probating the Will). [2] Whether such a Certificate is needed generally depends on the type of assets owned by the deceased at death, and whether they died with a Will. For example, when an individual dies with a Will, the Will gives the named executor the authority to act; however, third parties sometimes require proof of that authority before allowing such executor to administer the deceased’s assets. The named executor obtains this proof by applying for a Certificate of Appointment from the Ontario Superior Court of Justice. [3]

How is Probate Tax Calculated?

Probate tax is currently calculated as 1.5% of the value of the assets administered under the Will being probated above $50,000. [4]  Therefore, if the assets flowing through a Will had a value of $2,050,000 at the deceased’s death, $30,000 of probate tax would be owing as part of the application (calculated as ($2,050,000 – $50,000) x 1.5%).  Certain asset values are not included in the calculation (e.g., the value of assets that flow outside of the Will and of real estate outside Ontario). Where Ontario real estate is concerned, the value to be included in the calculation is the value less encumbrances.

What is “Probate Planning”? Can Probate Tax Exposure be Minimized?

“Probate planning” is used to describe taking steps to reduce exposure to probate tax. A number of strategies can be employed to do so, but it is important to remember that no two situations are the same.  Each individual must consider their own personal circumstances, including their wishes regarding asset distribution, and should get legal advice from a qualified estates lawyer before engaging in probate planning.  Some examples of probate planning opportunities, as well as high-level comments on each, follow:

  1. Multiple Wills

In Ontario, a common probate planning strategy is the execution of multiple Wills. As mentioned above, probate tax is calculated based on the value of the assets being governed by the Will being probated. Certain assets would not need a probated Will to be dealt with (e.g., probate is often not needed to deal with shares in closely-held private corporations and personal effects).

This strategy generally separates assets into two categories. One Will (often called the “Secondary Will” or “Non-probated Will”) governs the distribution of assets that do not need a Certificate of Appointment to be administered, and the other Will (often called the “Primary Will” or “Probated Will”) governs the distribution of the remaining assets.  Only the value of those assets that fall under the Primary Will being probated would be exposed to probate tax.  The cost and added complexity of this planning is often weighed against the possible probate tax savings on death.

For example, consider the business owner that holds shares in a private corporation worth $1,000,000, where the other shareholders do not require proof of the executor’s authority to act.  By having a Secondary Will govern the distribution of such shares, probate tax exposure is reduced by $15,000.

  1. Bare Trust Planning

In Ontario, legal and beneficial ownership can be split, opening the door to bare trust planning using a nominee corporation (the “Nominee”). This strategy involves transferring legal title in an asset to a Nominee while keeping beneficial ownership.  Despite being on title, the Nominee is only an agent of the beneficial owner(s) and the relationship between the Nominee and beneficial owner(s) is generally documented by a written agreement or declaration of trust.  On the beneficial owner’s death, legal ownership remains with the Nominee and beneficial ownership is transferred in accordance with the deceased’s Secondary Will (meaning the need for properly drafted multiple Wills). Set up and on-going maintenance costs should be considered before engaging in this planning.

  1. Designating Beneficiaries

When beneficiaries (other than a deceased’s estate) are designated on life insurance policies and registered investment accounts, they pass directly to the designated beneficiaries (not forming part of the deceased’s estate) and are not subject to probate tax.

Before designating a beneficiary, consideration should be given to how the designation fits within the overall estate plan (e.g., perhaps liquidity from the registered account is needed to satisfy cash gifts in the Will).  Form and content of the designation should also be considered, as well as tax consequences that flow from it (if any).

  1. Joint Assets

If assets are held jointly so that they pass automatically to a surviving owner on the death of the first to die, then such assets pass outside of the deceased’s estate and are not subject to probate tax.  This strategy, if effective, would only avoid probate tax on the first death. It is often seen with spouses (e.g., when they own their home as joint tenants, with right of survivorship [5]).

There are legal considerations before engaging in this planning, particularly when a parent is contemplating adding a child as joint owner. A qualified estates lawyer should be consulted before taking steps to change ownership, and legal advice should be obtained regarding risks associated with joint ownership (e.g., exposure to creditors), and steps needed for this strategy to be effective (sometimes multiple Wills are needed).

Conclusion

With careful planning it is possible to reduce exposure to probate tax, but what may be an appropriate probate planning strategy for one might not be for another. Probate planning should be considered in the context of an individual’s estate plan as a whole, with the benefit of legal advice, and the individual should remember that changes in law, circumstances or the administrative practices of third parties can impact a plan’s effectiveness.

[1] This article focuses on the laws in the Province of Ontario.
[2] An executor may want or need to probate a Will for other reasons; this is beyond the scope of this article.
[3] If an individual dies without a Will, someone would apply to have authority to administer the deceased’s assets.
[4] The value of the estate is rounded up to the nearest thousand (e.g., if the value was $2,049,250, probate tax would be calculated on $2,050,000).
[5] As opposed to owning their home as tenants in common.

 

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

May 2023

Michael Brown, Lead Portfolio Manager CPA, CA, CFA, examines the flywheel effect of compounding intellectual capital with the Canadian Equity Team at Cidel.

Click here to read more.

This month’s blog post was written by Andrea Tratnik, Partner, Trusts and Estates Group, and Damian Di Biase, Student-at-Law, at Beard Winter LLP.

Last year, significant changes were made to the Succession Law Reform Act, RSO 1990, c S.26 (“SLRA”), which is the primary legislation in Ontario that governs estate law. In particular, effective January 1, 2022, key amendments were made to the SLRA regarding the remote witnessing of Wills, testamentary effects of marriage and marriage dissolution, and validating testamentary documents. These changes, which have had a considerable impact on estate planning, are outlined below.

Parties can continue to use audio-visual communication technology for Will signings

Prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, Wills and Powers of Attorney had to be signed in the physical presence of two witnesses. Emergency measures were introduced during the pandemic to allow for virtual signings of these documents; changes to the SLRA made these measures permanent for Wills and corresponding changes to Ontario’s Substitute Decisions Act, 1992, SO 1992, c 30 made these measures permanent for Powers of Attorney.

More particularly, testators and witnesses may continue to use audio-visual communication technology to satisfy the requirement that they be in the presence of each other for the signing of a Will or Power of Attorney. This option may assist testators who have poor health or mobility issues by enabling them to participate in estate planning fully via platforms such as Zoom or Microsoft Teams. In order to proceed with a virtual signing, at least one witness must be a lawyer or a paralegal.

Electronic signatures on Wills and Powers of Attorney are still not permitted. Virtual signings require wet ink signatures and involve the use of counterpart documents.

Marriage no longer revokes Wills, but spousal gifts and executor appointments are revoked upon separation

Formerly, a Will was automatically revoked by marriage. As a result of the SLRA changes, marriage no longer revokes a Will.  The result of this amendment is that testators who have Wills preceding a marriage will not have to re-make or re-sign their Wills in order for such Wills to remain in effect after marriage; they will, however, need to consider whether they wish to make changes to the terms of their Wills to provide for their new spouse.

While marriage no longer revokes a Will, any testamentary gift made to a spouse, and any appointment of a spouse as executor or trustee, will be revoked upon separation. This revocation formerly applied only upon divorce.

A spouse will be considered to be separated from a testator if, before the testator’s death, they were living separate and apart as a result of the breakdown of their marriage for a period of three years, they entered into a valid separation agreement, or either a court order or a family arbitration award was made in the settlement of their affairs arising from the breakdown of their marriage.

Spouses who are separating but still intend to give testamentary gifts to each other will need to update their testamentary documents to ensure these gifts are not revoked.

Spousal entitlements no longer apply to the separated spouse if the deceased dies intestate

If a person dies without a Will, their estate will be distributed in accordance with the intestacy laws set out under the SLRA. Generally, a person’s spouse and children are the primary beneficiaries under an intestacy and, formerly, the SLRA made no distinction between spouses and separated spouses.

Separated spouses are now excluded from being able to receive spousal entitlements on an intestacy. A spouse will be considered separated from the deceased for this purpose in accordance with the same criteria set out above.

While this change may prevent some unwelcome consequences, it remains advisable to have a Will in place to adequately address all testamentary intentions.

Improperly executed Wills can now be validated through an application to court

Previously, a Will was not valid if it did not comply with the formal signing and witnessing criteria set out under the SLRA.

However, parties may now apply to the Superior Court of Justice for an order that an improperly executed Will is valid and fully effective. The Court may grant the order if it is satisfied that the document sets out the testamentary intentions of the deceased.

This amendment may assist in situations where – due to timing issues or otherwise – a document was not executed properly but testamentary intentions are clear. Despite this relieving provision, it remains advisable to meet all formal requirements when signing a Will.

Conclusion

For more information on these changes and for further assistance in your estate planning, please reach out to your wealth consultant and/or a lawyer.

* A modified version of this article first appeared on Beard Winter LLP’s website on March 31, 2023.

 

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

April 2023

This month’s blog post was written by Hayley Peglar, Partner at WeirFoulds LLP.

 

Incapacity planning refers to addressing circumstances in which you are unable to make decisions on your own behalf while you are alive. Turning your mind to potential future incapacity can give you agency in decisions made on your behalf and soften the impact of a further temporary or permanent incapacity for your loved ones.

This post focuses on Ontario’s framework for two key realms of decision making: property and personal care. In general, when you are unable to make these decisions, they are made by either your attorney[1] under the terms of a power of attorney document or they are made by a statutory or court-appointed guardian of property.[2] The Substitute Decisions Act, 1992 (the “SDA“)[3] sets out the framework for powers of attorney and guardianships of property and of personal care/the person.

Decisions about Property

Decisions about property include those concerning a person’s assets and liabilities of all forms, including, e.g., cash and investments, real estate, corporate interests, digital property, and taxes.

The SDA permits a person (referred to as the “grantor”) to grant a continuing power of attorney for property. A continuing power of attorney is a document which gives authority to the attorney to manage the grantor’s property even once the grantor has lost capacity to make decisions about their property. The attorney will be able to do on the person’s behalf anything in respect of property that the person could do if capable, except make a will, subject to the conditions and restrictions set out in the power of attorney.

What happens if a person does not have a power of attorney for property in place? If a certificate is issued under the Mental Health Act,[4] the Public Guardian and Trustee will be the person’s statutory guardian of property unless and until they are replaced.[5] If no certificate has been issued under the Mental Health Act, it will be necessary to start a guardianship application.

Any person[6] may apply to the Ontario Superior Court of Justice to seek to be appointed by court order as an incapable person’s guardian of property. Guardianship applications take time (often months, and sometimes even years) and can cost in the tens of thousands of dollars (and much more if the guardianship is contested). A guardianship application must be served not only on the allegedly incapable person and the Public Guardian and Trustee, but also on their spouse or partner, children who are at least eighteen, parents, and brothers and sisters (if these people are known). Depending on your family dynamics, this may not be consistent with your wishes about who is given notice of your incapacity. While guardianships play a crucial role in the protection of incapable adults, they require a public court process, when you may wish for your personal circumstances (such as your medical circumstances and financial circumstances) to be kept private. The court might appoint someone as your guardian you would not choose yourself.

Decisions About Personal Care

Decisions about personal care include those concerning health care, nutrition, shelter, clothing, hygiene and safety.

What happens if a person loses capacity to make personal care decisions without a power of attorney for personal care in place? While the Health Care Consent Act identifies substitute decision makers for medical treatment where there is no attorney for personal care or guardian of the person, decisions relating to other personal care matters are not clearly provided for by legislation. It may be necessary for a family member or friend to apply to the court to have a guardian of the person appointed. As with a guardianship for property, such an application may be expensive, time consuming, invasive, and at odds with your personal preferences.[7]

Your attorney for property and your attorney for personal care do not need to be the same person. As a practical matter, if a person has lost capacity to manage property and personal care, it is important that the attorneys for property and for personal care are able to work together cooperatively.

The Importance of Legal Advice in Incapacity Planning

While there are standard form powers of attorney available online, reliance on these “one size fits all” forms can be risky.

A lawyer can help to ensure your power of attorney documents are legally valid and have your intended effect. A lawyer can also help you to understand the options you have when preparing a power of attorney document. For example, a power of attorney for property can be drafted to be immediately effective or effective at a specified date or when a specified contingency happens (such as a declaration of incapacity).[8]

A lawyer can also explain the duties and obligations of an attorney for property and attorney for personal care, and the risks of misuse of a power of attorney document. This will help you identify who you trust to fulfil these important roles.

Planning Ahead

Incapacity planning gives you a voice in who makes critical decisions about your life when you are unable to make these decisions yourself and can avoid the stress and expense of a court proceeding.

 

[1] In the context of powers of attorney, “attorney” refers to the named substitute decision maker, not a lawyer.
[2] In addition, the Health Care Consent Act, 1996, SO 1996, c 2, Sched A, as amended (the “HCCA“), sets out a hierarchy of substitute decision makers for medical treatment decisions. See s. 20 of the HCCA.
[3] Substitute Decisions Act, 1992, SO 1992, c 30.
[4] Mental Health Act, RSO 1990, c M7, as amended.
[5] SDA, s 15. There is a process to replace the Public Guardian and Trustee as statutory guardian of property.
[6] Other than a person who provides health care or residential, social, training or support services to an incapable person for compensation. There is an exception for spouses, partners, relatives, attorneys for personal care, and attorneys for property.
[7] An application for a guardianship of the person must be served on the allegedly incapable person’s children aged sixteen and over.
[8] SDA, s 7(7).

 

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.
 

March 2023

Arthur Heinmaa, CFA, Chief Investment Officer, examines the rapid failure of the Silicon Valley Bank.

Click here to read more.

This month’s blog post was written by Anna Alizadeh, Head of Wealth Planning at Cidel.

It has been said that the two certainties in life are death and taxes.  It is therefore no surprise that planning for these certainties has become an increasingly popular topic.  Typically, planning for death and taxes involves executing a last will and testament (i.e., a will), which is a legal document that designates how your assets will be managed and distributed after death.

It can be daunting to think about one’s own death and how to divide assets among loved ones.  But there are several reasons why it is imperative to have a valid will in place, including the ability to choose a guardian for one’s minor children; protecting and planning for minors’ inheritance; avoiding unnecessary headaches for family members; making desired charitable donations; and minimizing probate fees and taxes.  Further, planning ahead provides the ability to choose a trusted executor/trustee to carry out one’s wishes.  A trust company, like Cidel Trust Company*, can be appointed as an executor/trustee to reduce the burden and potential liability of estate administration on family and friends.

Just as importantly, making a will allows an individual to choose the persons or organizations they wish to leave money to and in what amounts.  However, if an individual dies intestate (i.e., without a will), the distribution of their estate is governed by the specific intestacy rules of the province in which they are domiciled, which rules may not be on par with the person’s wishes.  In Ontario, for example, the laws on intestacy are set out in Part II of the Succession Law Reform Act.  The Succession Law Reform Act provides for a list of individuals, in hierarchical order, to whom the law presumes the deceased would have wanted to leave money.  For example:

  • if you are married and have no children at the time of your death, your spouse will inherit your entire estate;
  • if you are married with children, your spouse will first inherit a “preferential share” of the value of your estate and the remainder of the estate (if any) is divided among your spouse and children (how the remainder is split depends on the number of children you have).  The regulations made under the Succession Law Reform Act were recently amended to increase the value of a surviving spouse’s “preferential share” from $200,000 to $350,000 where a deceased died intestate on or after March 1, 2021;
  • if you are not survived by a spouse or any issue, your estate is distributed to your closest living blood relatives (for example, parents would take priority over all other living relatives. If your parents are not alive, your siblings will inherit your estate in equal shares. If your siblings are not alive, your nieces and nephews, etc.); and
  • if you have no next of kin, your estate will escheat to the Crown (i.e., your property will become the Crown’s property).  This is quite rare.

In the event of an intestacy, common-law spouses do not have the same statutory rights to an estate as married spouses.  However, while the law provides a roadmap as to who should receive an intestate person’s estate or a share thereof, a common-law spouse, an unhappy family member, or a multitude of other persons can nevertheless come after the estate and fight for a piece of the pie.  It is therefore best to make a will and avoid the costly and time-consuming litigation that would ensue in the case of an intestacy.

Many difficulties can arise because of insufficient or improper estate planning.  Making a will and ensuring one’s estate planning is up to date can prevent a myriad of adverse outcomes after death, including complicated estate administration and costly litigation.  If you have any concerns or questions about the current status of your estate planning, please contact your Wealth Consultant to discuss your options.

* Please contact your Wealth Consultant to learn about how Cidel Trust Company, a federally licensed trust company, can assist with the administration of your estate.

DISCLAIMER
Terms of Use
By accessing the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page, you agree that you have read, understood and agree to be bound by the website terms of use,  in addition to the terms stated below.  If you do not agree with this website’s terms of use, please exit from this page, and do not access any other pages on this website.
Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. (including its subsidiaries and affiliates, “Cidel”) reserves the right, at its discretion, to change, modify, add, or remove portions of this page, and the information contained herein, without prior notice. 
Information Is Not Legal or other Advice
Wealth Matters – Ours Insights publications are intended to convey general information about legal issues and developments as of the indicated date.  It does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or any other advice and must not be treated or relied upon as such.
Statements made in Wealth Matters – Our Insights publications, including the interpretation of case law, are of a general nature only and in no way represent a warranty of the position or accuracy of the law at the time, nor do they pre-determine any position Cidel may take with respect to a specific fact situation or particular client matter. Furthermore, Cidel does not endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for any content written or contributed by third parties who are featured as guest bloggers on Wealth Matters – Our Insights, nor does Cidel endorse, guarantee the accuracy of, or accept any responsibility for the content of third-party websites or materials that may be linked, quoted or otherwise referenced in these publications.  For greater certainty, Cidel does not warrant or guarantee that the information contained on this page is accurate, complete, updated regularly and obtained from reliable sources.
In making the Wealth Matters – Our Insights page available, no client, advisory, fiduciary or professional relationship, including a client-solicitor relationship is created, intended or established. The contents are not a substitute for the user seeking advice from a professional that is familiar with the reader’s factual situation or circumstances.

There has been an unprecedented transfer of wealth from one generation to the next in recent years.  In addition, people are living longer and, more and more, we are seeing complicated estates as a result of individuals and families moving to or owning assets in different jurisdictions.  As a result of these new realities, there is an ever-increasing need to have appropriate strategies in place to address concerns of conveying wealth to the next generation, aging, and maintaining a family or business legacy.

At Cidel, we are committed to empowering our clients with practical knowledge in the areas of trusts, estates, capacity, and succession planning to allow clients to navigate through these sensitive considerations.  Wealth Matters – Our Insights will bring together trusted legal, accounting, and other professionals to discuss interesting topics that are relevant to you.

We invite you to subscribe to Wealth Matters – Our Insights to receive our monthly blogs.  You can unsubscribe at any time.

January 2023

Charles Lannon, CFA, discusses Cidel’s Global Equity Strategy and new investments made in the last quarter of 2022. He elaborates on equity performance for 2022 and shares his views on the outlook for 2023.

Click here to read.

December 2022

Ryan Elliott, one of our Toronto based Wealth Consultants, was invited by BNN Bloomberg for a discussion on inflation, how the markets are reacting to key data and how Cidel positions client portfolios for success in current market environments. The discussion is a wide ranging one covering topics that clients have brought up with our team in recent weeks. We invite you to watch the two segments that BNN Bloomberg have made available on their site by clicking here.

November 2022

We are pleased to present our Q3 insights and commentaries.

Click here to read it in full.

October 2022

Autumn reminds us of heading back to school. Therefore, with the back-to-school feeling in mind we are going back-to-basics about how we invest at Cidel.

Click here to read more.

August 2022

Please enjoy our teams insights, commentaries and Cidel In The News.

Click here to read it in full.

July 2022

The dominant narrative in the market this quarter was, unsurprisingly, a debate surrounding whether or not the global economy would fall into recession, when that might be, and how severe? 

Click here to read more.

June 2022

If you are feeling uneasy or anxious about the current state of the markets, you’re not alone. Our latest post is a reminder that, in the long-run, things almost always work out for the better.

Read More.

 

May 2022

This report covers topics including Cidel’s performance summary, our estate planning overview, a breakdown of stock rivalries and more. Enjoy!

Click here to read it in full.

April 2022

Equities had a memorable first quarter of 2022, but entirely for awful reasons.

Early in the quarter markets exhibited weakness as they continued to digest the reality that persistent inflation was helping to bring the era of extreme central bank and fiscal liquidity to a close. 

Click here to read more.

February 2022

Click here to read Arthur Heinmaa’s, Chief Investment Officer, views on the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

January 2022

Our Charles Lannon, Senior Vice President and Head of Equities,  provides his commentary on our Global Equity Strategy. He begins:

“2021 was another year of double digit returns in global equities, with the MSCI World Index returning 22.3% in U.S. dollar terms (or 21.2% in Canadian dollar terms). This strong annual return is consistent with a sharp rebound in both economic growth and earnings. It is projected that global GDP growth in 2021 will come in around 5.9% the best result in well over a decade.”

READ MORE.

 

December 2021

We are ending the year on a charitable note. Our partnership with the Salvation Army of Barbados has progressed over 20 years and we are happy to support them once again.

Our ethos of corporate social responsibility has led us to create The Children First Trust charity. This year we felt the need to make a more significant contribution and expand our efforts to include more families in need.

Read the full article here.

October 2021

Our Q3 2021 Quarterly Report is out!

This report covers topics including Cidel’s performance summary, our partnership with TwinRiver Capital Group, a podcast recording from our Latin American team and more. Enjoy!

Click here to read it in full.

Our partnership with TwinRiver Capital Group marks a new milestone.

We have just announced the launch of the Cidel-TwinRiver Global Impact Fund (the “TwinRiver Global Impact Fund” or the “Fund”).

This new Fund offers investors exposure to companies working intentionally and pro-actively on making a positive social and environmental contribution.

Click here to read the full details.

August 2021

Our Q2 2021 Quarterly Report is out!

This report covers topics including Cidel’s performance summary, our acquisition of Lorica, a recording on timing the market and more. Enjoy!

Click here to read.

July 2021

Cidel Asset Management Inc. (Cidel) and TwinRiver Capital are pleased to announce our new partnership.

“Cidel is very excited to be a founding partner with TwinRiver, and to support the growth of this important new firm.  We see the growing demand for impact products from our clients.  We are confident that the TwinRiver team is uniquely positioned to deliver on the promise of impact investing for both individual investors and institutions,” said Henry Perren, President of Cidel.

TwinRiver is focused on serving a new generation of private, public and philanthropic investors looking to make a positive difference with their capital. The TwinRiver platform will provide those investors with opportunities to achieve tangible social and environmental impacts alongside financial returns – the “twin rivers” of a future financial system.

Read the full press release here.

June 2021

Cidel’s Ben Arrindell has been awarded the Commander of the British Empire (CBE).

He has received this award for his contributions to the international business services sector in Barbados.​ Ben, while also Deputy Chairman of Cidel Bank & Trust, is an ‘in-demand’ speaker on the international tax circuit. He is advisor and consult to many institutions; one being the United Nations Committee of Experts on International Cooperation in Tax Matters.

No one is more deserving of this award than Ben, who, over the last 30 years, has made significant contributions to the development of international business policy in Barbados.

Cidel was proud to sponsor the Canadian Association of University Business Officers (CAUBO) Annual Conference that took place June 15-17, 2021.

This annual conference is CAUBO’s flagship development event, with sessions focusing on trends and hot topics in higher education.

More information can be found here.

May 2021

Cidel Asset Management Inc. (Cidel) and Lorica Investment Counsel Inc. (Lorica) are pleased to announce that they have reached an agreement under which Cidel will acquire 100% of Lorica.

Lorica brings to Cidel exceptional talent and a client base that comprises about $900 million in assets. The current President of Lorica, Gary Morris, will assume leadership of Cidel’s Fixed Income team. “I am excited to work with the portfolio management team at Cidel and look forward to providing clients with quality solutions and leveraging the additional resources that Cidel has to offer” says Gary.

Arthur Heinmaa, Cidel’s Chief Investment Officer explains that Cidel’s business has grown significantly in recent years and with changes in the market, fixed income investing faces the need for even more resources and talent. “Our clients continue to look for innovative solutions for income investing. Gary and his team are ideally positioned to complement and build on Cidel’s capabilities”

“The goal is first and foremost about building capabilities for clients and adding the best talent to our team. We look forward to welcoming Lorica and its clients to Cidel and are excited about the new opportunities that will result.” According to Cidel’s Chief Executive Officer, Craig Rimer.

The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and is anticipated to close in June 2021.

Click here to read the Press Release.

April 2021

Our Q1 2021 Quarterly Report is out!

This report covers topics including Cidel’s performance summary, investment team research, a recording of our ESG strategy and more. Enjoy!

Click here to read.

March 2021

Our Q4 2020 Quarterly Report is out!

This report covers topics including Cidel’s performance summary, vaccines on investing, a recording of our investment conference and more. Enjoy!

Click here to read.

We recently held the second event in our Not-For-Profit Series.

Our Christy DeCosimo and Catherine Jackman sat down virtually to speak with Hugh MacPhie, a highly experienced Not-For-Profit advisor.

The presentation focused on the art and science of strategic planning.

Resources:

Presentation Video

Presentation Slides

Harvard Business Review Article Link

December 2020

Our Barbados office partnered with Lions International​ for ‘Operation Christmas’ to supply household goods and food for 200 families.

They worked together to fill these hampers with food, toiletries and other essential household goods.

Watch our Barbados team in action!

 

We were pleased to be a sponsor, and our Catherine Jackman a speaker, at the Canadian Investment Institute.

This event aimed to educate trustees in the pension sector.

Catherine co-presented on the ripple effects of low rates, insights from Japan’s “lost decade” and considerations for pension plans.

Follow us for event details here.

Our own Catherine Jackman and Christy DeCosimo spoke at the virtual Foundation, Endowment & Not For Profit Investment Summit on December 3, 2020.

This event highlighted the use of effective investment strategy to mitigate risks, achieve better portfolio performance and meet a not-for-profit organization’s stated mandate.

Our team gave an enlightening presentation on corporations, society and the shifting dynamics.

See our team in action.

November 2020

The holiday spirit begins at Cidel Bank & Trust Barbados with a donation of $25,000 along with 40 tablets to children in need.

The donation was made recently at the Salvation Army’s Reed Street headquarters. It is part of the Bank’s ongoing outreach efforts to assist schools and vulnerable groups within the surrounding area of its Collymore Rock location.

Some students either had no access to online classrooms or had to use their parents’ cellphones to access online classes – a situation that was not tenable.

Cidel is proud to say our donation will not only help with the current learning situation but also for further years of education in Barbados.

Read the full article here.

 

Last week we hosted our Annual Investment Discussion.

Our event ended with a panel of Cidel experts who discussed the key factors, risks and the impact of the election as well as COVID-19.

Click Here to watch the 20 minute discussion.

Cidel has sponsored CPA Alberta‘s Annual Forum that covers industry news.

We are proud to promote an event that is about looking forward and exploring the possibilities.

Click Here for more information.

Our Q3 2020 Quarterly Report is out!

This report covers topics including Cidel’s performance summary, a podcast on ESG, award nomination outcomes and more. Enjoy!

Click here to read.

October 2020

Cidel continues to look for client centric solutions and the partnership with ERI and its OLYMPIC Banking System which started in 2016 has allowed Cidel to continue to be a major player in the UHNW space.

 The implementation of the OLYMPIC Banking System achieved a number of positive outcomes:

  1. Cidel eliminated 3 existing systems resulting in a significant annual cost savings both in license costs and IT support.
  2. The system enabled client relationship managers to focus on building client relationships instead of building reports. This helped Cidel grow its AUM even during the initial stages of the implementation
  3. Reduced the amount of time spent on regulatory reporting required by OSFI, OSC, SEC, FACTCA, AML.
  4. Increased the accuracy and timeliness of performance reporting, including attribution analysis, to clients
  5. Allowed flexibility in reporting through the use of a data warehouse instead of using pre-programmed stock reports.
  6. Enabled the implementation of a new client facing website eliminating the need to use a third party vendor.
  7. Allowed STP trading and settlement at multiple custodians in multiple jurisdictions. Trading staff were able to focus on trading instead of trade settlement.
  8. Introduced enhanced security features to align user access with securities legislation requirements.
  9. Integrated the bank functions into the wealth management operations allowing clients to quickly access loan facilities
  10. Decreased the amount of time that auditors spent during Cidel’s annual audit.

Our committed partnership with ERI implementing our OLYMPIC Banking System has led to this huge success for both companies. The solution has already been chosen by more than 300 financial institutions and banks worldwide. ERI with more than 30 years of expertise, also won the Best Banking System category for 2019 at the Systems in the City Financial Technology Awards (London, United Kingdom), out of 10,000 votes from across the industry and a total of 121 nominated companies.

As an example of the efficiencies obtained from using the new system, Cidel Asset Management has processed, for a single client, over 77,000 individual trades and settled the trades with multiple custodians. This entire operation was done without a single error or a failed trade. The error free implementation & strong investment performance gave the client confidence to increase his allocation to us in the succeeding months.

Cidel Bank Canada has over 175 employees in its offices in Canada and abroad and oversees over $14 billion of client assets.

Click to read the OLYMPIC Banking System Press Release.

 

During October, Cidel was joined by leaders in the Not-for-Profit (NFP) community for a virtual session on governance.

Our guest speaker, Don McCreesh, a Not-for-Profit (NFP) governance expert, was hosted by Cidel’s Christy DeCosimo and Catherine Jackman.

Many NFP organizations have faced increased stakeholder concern with governance policies and fundraising during the pandemic. Governance is more key than ever.

For Cidel it was a wonderful opportunity to celebrate the great work that these organizations do across Canada and elsewhere. It is a privilege for us to be involved with those who work so hard to build stronger communities which is near and dear to our firm culture.

Cidel is proud to contribute to worthy causes and even more proud of our staff who use their own time to volunteer.   Whether it is coaching hockey, serving meals at shelters or working on boards – we should all celebrate the great accomplishments and critical role NFPs play.

A big thank you to Don, to our attendees and to all the volunteers and staff at NFPs who are so dedicated to their missions.

Click here for the presentation.

September 2020

Are you aware Canada has been ranked SECOND in Soundness of Banks by the  World Economic Forum?

We have the same value as Finland at the top spot!

See the full ranking of countries​.

August 2020

Our Q2 2020 Quarterly Report is out!

This report covers topics including Cidel’s performance summary, non-profit organizations, award nominations and more. Enjoy!

Click here to read.

July 2020

Our Barbados office sprang into action this month to help 250 vulnerable households.

Thousands of Barbadians have been impacted by widespread job loss due to COVID-19. Cidel Bank & Trust’s humanitarian project ballooned into a major partnership with the Lions Clubs of Barbados.

It was a matched donation and the substantial funds raised through the staff project was matched by Cidel Bank & Trust. This donation allowed for the purchase of essential food items, fresh fruits and vegetables, as well as personal care products for entire families. A special component of the initiative included the distribution of 12 electronic tablets for students in affected homes who required the devices to continue their education online.

Families were selected using the Lions Clubs’ registry of persons in need. Cidel employees were also asked to identify affected households whose main breadwinners had been laid-off during the national shutdown or worked in sectors that remain closed due to the halt in tourism and international travel. All of this was possible based on the help of Shonda Forde, a long-standing member of the Lions Club.

For Carol-Ann Smith, President of the Cidel Staff and Activities Committee, it was a satisfying moment as she joined other employees and Lions Club members preparing over 250 care packages. She added: “COVID-19 has shown us just how fortunate we are. We had great participation from all our staff and we are really pleased with the outcome.”

Ryle Weeks – President of Cidel Bank and Trust commented that“This is one of our biggest projects to date and we wanted, as a company to give back to our communities and demonstrate our commitment to this country. We are fortunate as a company because none of our employees have been impacted by jobs cuts. Our staff are still employed full-time and at full pay and we believe it was incumbent on us to share with others during this difficult time.”

View the full news story here.

We are honoured to receive, for a third year, the Chambers and Partners High Net Worth Award.

Cidel is considered by 2020 sources to be a “big player in the private client space.” One commentator describes it as “one of the best available in Canada,” while another highlights that “they have some good people working there and they are a go-to for investment and trust services.”

In an interview one person had this to say:

“They are my favourite, they stand out absolutely,” an interviewee enthuses; “I love to refer clients there, they give the best personal service and they provide help to clients all the way through. They are so responsive and thoughtful. They truly stand out to me, they are a leader for banking and trusts.”

We feel very proud of our achievements and will continue to provide great services​ to our clients.

Click here to read more.

June 2020

We have been a proud sponsor of the YWCA Toronto Women of Distinction Awards for the past 3 years and as an event that raises a substantial amount of funds for the organization, we were saddened to learn that, due to this difficult and unprecedented time, it had to be postponed.  To help the organization meet the huge shortfall, Cidel, along with other event sponsors, moved forward with their sponsorships, as a 2020 donation to YWCA Toronto.

YWCA Toronto’s mission remains to provide safe and supportive spaces for the most vulnerable women and girls in Toronto.  The programs that would have directly benefitted from the funds raised still need support, and the added threat of COVID-19 has increased the need.

Please consider joining Cidel in the support of YWCA Toronto and Click Here if you are able to do so.

We are pleased to announce that our team has been nominated for The SIACharts Inc. Award for Digital Innovator of the Year​.

The awards process includes an industry-wide call for nominations, research, finalist submissions, and winner selection by a judging panel comprising independent experts in the wealth management and financial advice industries.​

We are incredibly excited to be recognized among the top in our industry by the Wealth Professional Awards. This event has been running 6 years and is the leading independent awards event for the wealth management industry.

April 2020

Our Q1 2020 Quarterly Report is out! This report covers topics including Cidel’s equity strategy, pension plans, non-profit organizations and more. Enjoy!

Click here to read.

March 2020

Click Here to read a message from our Chief Investment Officer.

Click Here to read a message from our Chief Investment Officer.

February 2020

Cidel’s Q4 2019 Quarterly Report is out! This report covers topics including impeachment, Japanification, non-profit organizations and more.

Enjoy!

Click here to read

December 2019

The Founder’s Awards are given to members who have made ‘an exceptional and outstanding long term contribution to the Society above and beyond that normally expected of a member through office in his or her branch or elsewhere in the voluntary life of the Society’.

Congratulations Amanda Lashley for being a recipient of the 2019 STEP Founder’s Awards!

Speaking at the Canadian Investment Review’s 2019 Defined Benefit Investment Forum in Toronto on Dec. 6, Charles Lannon, head of equities atCidel Asset Management Inc., discussed whether Europe and the United States are destined for a similar fate as Japan.

Click here to read:

Over the past few weeks, Cidel has hosted several events where Charles Lannon, Cidel’s Head of Equity Research shared Lessons From Japan.

He addressed whether or not there are learnings for the rest of the world from Japan’s decades of slow growth and very low interest rates.

Click here to read:

November 2019

Cidel Asset Management has been appointed to manage Canadian equities for a leading Canadian financial institution. We are excited to partner with ATB Wealth, the wealth management arm of ATB Financial, as sub advisor to their innovative investment platform.

ATB Financial is an Alberta-built financial institution that serves more than 750,000 Albertans from over 300 locations. Cidel looks forward to a successful partnership.

October 2019

Our Q3 2019 Quarterly Report it out with highlights on ESG Ratings and Fixed Income Strategies.

Click here to read

July 2019

Our Q2 2019 Quarterly Report is out and highlights Cidel Executor Services and Multi-Asset Class Strategies.

Click Here to Read

June 2019

We are delighted to announce that Cidel Asset Management has been named a finalist for the award of Investment Team of the Year for the 2019/20 STEP Private Client Awards to be held in London U.K. on September 25th, 2019.

Cidel was invited to participate in the conference “Inbound Investing into Mexico – Implications of USMCA, Tariffs and Other Trade Barriers”.

Armando Ramos, Senior Wealth Consultant and Director was part of the panel that discussed the implications and opportunities of the USMCA Treaty. Armando talked about the investment opportunities that Canada offers to Mexican HNW individuals and families as well as the good environment for investing in Canadian private equity funds.

The event was organized by ACG Toronto. ACG is the premier association for driving middle-market growth in the Private Equity and M& A industry

May 2019

Cidel is proud to celebrate its 20th anniversary this year!

We continue to forge ahead with an uncommon commitment to personalized service by approaching every challenge as an opportunity to make life simpler for our clients.

Cidel was pleased to host our annual women’s event over lunch last Thursday for clients and investment professionals at The Hazelton Hotel.

The panel discussion was on mental health and social media, with a focus on the effect of technology on children and adolescents. Our panel featured Dr. Ian Chen, Adolescent Medicine Specialist.

The Chair of STEP Worldwide, Simon Morgan congratulated Cidel Bank and Trust, Vice President Amanda Lashley, who has been elected as a committee member of Business Families Global SIG Steering Committee.

Amanda has been a STEP member since 2003 and is actively involved in the Barbados STEP Branch where she chaired from 2014-2017. She is also a member of the STEP Caribbean Steering Committee and Chaired the 2018 STEP Caribbean conference which was held in Barbados.

The Business Families SIG (Special Interest Group) provides a community for practitioners, who work with business families and a platform for education, training, continued professional development and the expansion of field networks and support. The group focusses on what makes business families distinct, their particular challenges, and how best to address these. The group aims to marshal expertise, promote best practice and champion the practice area.

This STEP worldwide appointment and is a big honour and validation of Amanda’s hard work and expertise.

It has been said the world can be united through music and sport. Squash certainly proves that true as one of the great international sports. Cidel has supported squash in Barbados through advertising, volunteer time and active participation over the past 12 years.

Pictured here is Paul Mcleod, Cidel’s CFO ready to play a match in the International Masters Squash tournament being held at the Barbados Squash club. The 13th year of the tournament has been its largest ever with players travelling from Canada, Untied States, England, Germany, Denmark, Norway, Scotland, Trinidad, Bermuda and BVI to play and enjoy Barbados. 135 players from 8 different countries.

Q1 Quarterly Report is out. Hope you enjoy!

Click Here to Read 

February 2019

On February 4th, at the Sandals Royal resort in Barbados the Prime Minister and Minister of Finance and Investment, Mia Amor Mottley addressed the dignitaries, friends and staff in honour of our 20th anniversary. Adrian Meyer – Deputy Chairman of Cidel Bank and Trust Inc, spoke of the history of Cidel and Craig Rimer Chief Executive Officer brought greetings from Canada and thanked everyone for their contribution to the success of the business.

Our Q4 Quarterly Report is out. Hope you enjoy!

Click Here to Read 

January 2019

Cidel was proud to continue our support for CFA Society Calgary as sponsor of the Forecaster of the Year at the 42nd Annual Forecast Dinner. It was a good evening hearing from Willis Sparks of Eurasia Group, Paul Smith, CFA, President & CEO of the CFA Institute, and our panelists: Jackie Forrest, Todd Hirsch and Larry Berman.

Great exposure for Cidel!

We are one of the sponsors of the Foundations & Endowment Investment conference taking place in Toronto on January 30th – 31st 2019.

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) information has received increased attention from investors in recent years. As of 2017, 75% of major companies around the world produced some form of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) report, up from 19% in 2002.

In these articles Cidel Asset Management explores the Rise of ESG disclosures and takes a closer look at why Corporate Governance matters.

To read more  Click Here

December 2018

Click Here to read a message from the Chief Investment Officer to our clients.

 

Cidel’s investment research and portfolio management team travels the world to learn more about firms and industries and to interview senior management.

Philip Young is presently travelling in Asia and has sent along some insights.

To read more about Philip’s travels Click Here

November 2018

Cidel discusses market implications of potential presidential impeachment!

At Cidel, analyzing the risks to … While we view the potential impeachment of President Trump as unlikely at this time, the odds may have marginally increased and we are monitoring factors that could change our view….The likelihood of the President being impeached remains low. but the odds of it becoming a political discussion point are higher with the results of the recent mid-term election. The Republicans did retain their majority in the Senate, but no longer hold the largest number of seats in Congress.

Click Here to Read 

Our Q3 Quarterly Report is out. Hope you enjoy!

Click Here to Read 

September 2018

Cidel is awarded STEP Gold Employer Partner status

We are proud to announce that Cidel was named a Gold Employer Partner of the STEP Employer Partnership Programme in Canada, South Africa and Barbados!

STEP is the global professional association for practitioners who specialise in family inheritance and succession planning. STEP works to improve public understanding of the issues families face in this area and promotes education and high professional standards among its members. Full STEP members, known as TEPs, are internationally recognised as experts in their field, with proven qualifications and experience.

Achieving Gold accreditation is a testament to the strength of policies, practices and structures that Cidel has implemented to support its growing Private Wealth offering.

Speaking about the accreditation, Amanda J. Lashley, Vice President, Trust & Legal Cidel Bank & Trust Inc. said,

“Cidel Bank & Trust Inc., has enjoyed a long-standing relationship with STEP and is honoured to have achieved gold accreditation with the Employer Partnership Programme. This solidifies Cidel’s commitment to developing its key resource; its people.

“In our pursuit to encourage continuing education and ensure that we as a company strive to provide the highest professional standards within our trust, corporate and investment team, we firmly believe that being affiliated with an organization such as STEP is demonstrative of our commitment to academic and professional excellence. This will ensure that we stay current and are equipped to service our clients globally.”

Jenni Hutchinson, Head of Employer Partnerships for STEP, said “Cidel is to be commended on the way that it supports its staff by means of the very good learning and development provision it has in place. This, backed by a supportive, strong leadership and positive learning culture, ensures that all staff are given the encouragement that they need to achieve their potential”.

Cidel’s Karl Berger, Senior Wealth Consultant and Director was a guest at BNN Bloomberg discussing his thoughts on the case for investing in Canadian stocks for the long haul. In this BNN interview, Karl states a strong argument can be made for staying in Canadian stocks.

Click Here

August 2018

Our Quarterly Report is out – Looking back at Q2 and moving forward into Q3, with the impact of tariffs, yield curves and forward earnings. Hope you enjoy!

Click Here to Read 

July 2018

We are proud to announce that Cidel was named one of six “Recommended Private Banks-Canada” in the High Net Worth 2018 Guide issued by Chambers and Partners. Cidel was the only privately-owned bank that was recognized; the other ranked firms are the private banking units of Canada’s 5 largest financial institutions.

According to the guide, Cidel “is very strong on the investment management side, has a trust business and offices in Toronto and Calgary”, and “They do client services like no one else on the street. They have expertise at a level no one else in the city has. They know what they’re doing”.

Chambers and Partners’ annual High Net Worth Guide is specifically aimed at the international private wealth market, and covers private wealth management work and related specialisms, like private banking, in key jurisdictions around the world.

Cidel is an international private bank focusing on Asset Management, Planning, Structuring and Trust, and Specialized Banking. Cidel combines the scale of a large global bank with the continuity and genuine commitment to service of a boutique firm.​

Click here to read more

June 2018

Cidel is pleased to congratulate our Chairman Mr. Geoffrey Matus who received an honorary degree from the University of Toronto, June 20th, 2018 for his exceptional work in the education and health care industries. In conferring this degree he was recognized for all his efforts and impact that he has had on all those that have worked with him. Congratulations Geoff, from all at Cidel for this significant and well-deserved honour recognizing your relentless and tireless efforts for the betterment of others.

Click here

April 2018

Arthur Heinmaa, Chief Executive Officer of Cidel Asset Management joins industry experts in commenting on currency and how it impacts institutional investors.

Click here to read the article that explores exchange rates at a time of uncertainty around everything from trade deals to monetary policies.

March 2018

February 2018

Cidel’s Quarterly Report is out – a look back at 2017 and our investment team’s key themes for 2018.

Click Here to Read 

November 2017

Cidel’s Senior Vice President, Portfolio Manager and Head of Global Equities Mandate Charles Lannon was a presenter at this year’s national conference of the Portfolio Management Association Canada. In this BNN interview from the conference, he discusses how to find value in global equities. Click here to watch.

Our Q3 Investment Report is out – Looking Back on Q3, Looking Forward at Q4, and spotlights on active vs. passive and global infrastructure.

Click Here to View 

October 2017

Karl Berger, Cidel Senior Wealth Consultant and Director, was guest host on BNN’s ‘The Street’ last week. In this clip he discusses the Federal Reserve and expected upcoming changes.

An inspiring piece on the Invictus Games plus spotlights on distressed investing, cancer research and why you should question widely held investment maxims.

Click Here: http://cidel.com/newsletters/august-2017/ 

September 2017

Cidel’s August Newsletter – A Coda to Summer: Jimmy Buffet, your kid’s sports, and kale salads.

Click Here: http://cidel.com/newsletters/august-2017/ 

July 2017

Our Quarterly Report is out – looking back on Q2, what’s on our radar for Q3 and spotlights on our trust services and the Fed’s balance sheet.

http://cidel.com/downloads/QuarterlyInvestment/QuarterlyInvestment.html

Cidel’s June Newsletter – Steves Schwarzman and Jobs, Lefty’s insider trading issues and the myths of working philanthropically.

Click Here: http://cidel.com/newsletters/june-newsletter/ 

June 2017

Cidel’s May Newsletter – an interesting range of perspectives on pricing

Click Here: http://cidel.com/newsletters/may-2017/ 

May 2017

Gerard Baker, Editor-in-Chief of the Wall Street Journal speaks at a Cidel sponsored RamsayTalks event. Baker discussed America and the world in the age of President Trump.

Click here to watch

Cidel’s Q1 Quarterly Report is out: looking back, looking forward, and spotlights on artificial intelligence and the rise of populism.

Click Here to View 

April 2017

Our March newsletter looks at Toronto’s rise as a VC hub, Henry VIII’s role in Brexit, and why you see so many puffer jackets.

Click Here: http://cidel.com/newsletters/march-2017-newsletter/

March 2017

Cidel has been appointed portfolio sub-advisor for the NexGen Canadian Dividend Fund, by Natixis Global Asset Management Canada. We are looking forward to continue building on our relationship with Natixis and expanding our sub-advisory business in Canada and around the world.

http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170306006401/en/Natixis-Global-Asset-Management-Canada-Announces-Funds

In our February newsletter we feature an interview with a uniquely modest private equity manager, Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital, and a remarkable Canadian medical device that lets blind people see.

Click here: http://cidel.com/newsletters/february-2017/

February 2017

Our Q4 Quarterly Report is out – our investment team’s quick take on the important stories of the prior quarter and what could impact portfolios looking forward, plus more in-depth analysis of important themes or presentations we think might interest you.

http://cidel.com/downloads/QuarterlyInvestment/Index.html

January 2017

The first Cidel Newsletter of 2017: a look at Uber and AirBnB’s beginnings; an intimate account of mental illness; the magic of thinking long-term when investing; and a timely list of ways to keep your productivity going strong through the new year.

Click Here: http://cidel.com/newsletters/january-newsletter/

Here is a clip from Karl Berger’s (Senior Wealth Consultant and Director) appearance on BNN last week. Markets are reacting to Trump’s victory with expectations of significant economic growth and higher interest rates. In our view, Trump’s victory represents uncertainty. http://www.bnn.ca/video/top-canadian-stocks-no-matter-what-trump-does-or-doesn-t-do~1032234

December 2016

Our last newsletter of the year: Dalio on Trump, Tiffany’s troubles, and the best books of 2016. See you in 2017!

Click Here: http://cidel.com/newsletters/december-2016/

November 2016

Click here to watch Rob Spafford on Bloomberg TV’s “The Daily Brief.”

Click here to watch Karl Berger on BNN’s “The Street”, discussing the causes and implications of the U.S. dollar hitting 14-year highs.

We never really expected to write the words “President Trump” in any commentary but that is where we are today.  It has been an emotional rollercoaster that has left many clients, friends and family concerned, disheartened and perhaps afraid. It is at moments like this that we have to distance ourselves from the passion of the moment and reframe the issue.  Emotional considerations aside, where is the real risk? The bottom line is this: in the aftermath of the Trump victory we have greater uncertainty which will entail lower economic growth rates and higher premiums for risky assets.

During the past few years we have witnessed a continued movement in market prices towards safety, resulting in a considerable sacrifice of potential upside. Corporations have continued to amass record amounts of cash as a cushion against another downturn. Investors have withdrawn money from equities and sought the perceived safety of fixed income.  In Switzerland, where I write this commentary, the entire yield curve is negative, meaning investors buying Swiss government bonds in fact pay for the privilege instead of earning from it. Even investing your money for 50 years in Swiss bonds yields nothing. With the election of Trump it is unlikely that any of these situations will change soon.

In general, things never turn out as badly as you fear they might. Even if President Trump wants to enact some of his election promises, he will have to work through Congress to get the bills passed. In the past we have certainly seen many governments and presidents come and go without a dramatic impact on businesses.  The problem today is that we can easily envision a number of bleak outcomes. Initially, as with Brexit, we suspect that the markets will stabilize because very little will change in the short run. But leaving aside social and moral judgements, we believe that in this economic environment, the investment risks are somewhat greater – not so much from a legislative perspective but from an economic policy perspective.

For us, the real concern is what will occur in the event that slower US growth slips into a recession?  Let’s look at how this could play out over the next few years. First, we expect that at some point during the next year Trump will announce a replacement for Janet Yellen, the current Chair of the Federal Reserve, whose term expires in February 2018. Unless we are pleasantly surprised, her replacement could be someone without the experience or credentials that all Federal Reserve Presidents in recent memory possess. Moreover, Trump has indicated that he would like to reform the Fed, which may well compromise its traditional independence. It is likely that the replacement will be much more beholden to the President and even the Republican Party, which implies a greater focus on inflation and less on the goal of full employment.

Second, if the economy moves into recession, what will be the likely policy response from President Trump? The average decline in interest rates during previous recessions has been about 5%. The Federal Reserve does not have the ability to drop rates further. Previously we would have expected the government to step in and increase spending to stimulate the economy.  However, it is more likely that a businessman and Republican will try to restore confidence by cutting spending in a recession, when government revenues are declining. The result would be a more pronounced recession. The result could be a long and particularly nasty economic slowdown. We are not forecasting this outcome; however, the possibility of such a scenario is higher now.

For investors, managing risk though judicious equity selection and geographic exposure will be even more important as uncertainty rises. Investors can not blithely assume that the US economy will be the engine of growth that it once was because the possibility of policy mistakes is higher. Our expectation is that economic growth will continue to disappoint and be revised lower and interest rates as a consequence will remain low. At Cidel, we will re-examine our allocations and individual investments in light of this event, as we continually do, to determine appropriate changes in this new environment.

The US 10-year bond yield climbed almost one quarter of a percent to 1.83% amid increasing expectations that the Fed was on the cusp of a second interest rate hike in the US this cycle and that problems arising from negative interest rates marked a low point for yields-pressured bond markets. This expectation undermined equity markets, with the MSCI World falling 2%. The Canadian Dollar weakened against its US counterpart.

Historically, the healthcare sector has been popular with growth investors, and for good reason.  Positive long-term demand trends due to an aging population, combined with significant barriers to entry underpinning the ability to raise prices combine to offer the prospect of above average earnings growth, largely independent from the economic cycle. This combination should have particular appeal in the current environment of moribund growth and weak pricing power, however the sector has been underperforming the broad market significantly. What are the issues frightening investors, and what can we expect going forward?

Two main factors are causing investors to question assumptions around the historical business model of pharmaceutical companies, particularly their ability to raise prices at will: political pressure from government, and commercial pressure from large scale drug purchasers.

The US Government is the largest payer for prescription drugs, so it has a vested interest in the trajectory of drug prices. However, elections create the potential for a change in the balance between the various competing interests. The Republican platform is largely focussed on replacing the Affordable Care Act with some alternative offering patients greater choice and reducing the burden on employers. Hilary Clinton’s goals include improving the Affordable Care Act, and improving Drug Affordability. Proposals to increase affordability include  making it easier for generic/biosimilar drugs to get to market, creating a watchdog to ‘respond’ to excessive price hikes in older drugs, and allowing Medicare to directly negotiate for drug prices. While both platforms could result in changes, the ability to pass legislation obviously depends largely on who controls Congress, so if gridlock persists, any radical overhaul is ultimately unlikely. However, due to pre-election uncertainty, it’s no surprise that investors are avoiding the sector until the outcome is known.

Additionally, there are state-level initiatives which create uncertainty in future earnings potential for the pharma sector. Most prominently, Proposition 61 in California proposes mandated best pricing for state employees/retirees. While it seems likely to pass, how drug companies will respond remains to be seen. In our view, any proposal to impose direct Medicare price controls are the most concerning for investors, although the current system has already resulted in concentrated buyers negotiating with drug companies, demanding and receiving considerable economies of scale.

This increasing pressure by drug purchasers (insurance companies and their Pharmacy Benefit Management agents) to reduce net drug prices is the second serious source of pushback to pharma earning potential, and it seems to be intensifying and affecting additional areas. For example in diabetes treatment, Novo Nordisk (a former portfolio holding) recently revealed that an inability to get sufficient pricing on its new drugs to offset negative pricing on older treatments, caused a 50% cut in its medium term growth target. In our opinion, this ongoing pressure from purchasers is a bigger fundamental concern than political headlines.

So where next? The consensus from a recent healthcare conference we attended is that the sector should perform better post-election, although the pricing environment will likely remain tougher for some time. Given that price increases more or less fall 100% to the bottom line, valuations will likely adjust downwards, and it’s not clear that this process is complete. However, while price pressure is a challenge for the industry, the inexorable increase in healthcare costs is a real longer term challenge for government finances, and any ability to reign them in without hampering innovation would be a welcome ‘big picture’ development.  In any case, change always creates opportunities, so Cidel – and investors – will be on the lookout.

 

October 2016

September saw equity markets close to their all-time highs, with gains in both Canada and the United States. For the third quarter the MSCI was up 5.25%, the TSX was up 5.45% and the S&P 500 was up 4.23%. The bond market was also up by 0.44% for the same period.   Despite positive equity market returns, clients and institutions remain concerned as the US election approaches.

The most common question that we get from clients is – what changes we are going to make to portfolios ahead of the US presidential election? With emotions running high many clients feel that preemptively moving to a cash position may be a prudent decision. Stepping away from the emotions associated with the presidential candidates, we can examine this question from the perspective of market timing and market efficiency. The answers provide an interesting insight into markets and returns.

Make no mistake about it, aggressively timing the market does not add any value to investment returns – in fact it is a big detractor to long term performance. Constantly bouncing from cash to a fully invested position only makes money for the brokers. For market timing to be successful, a trader (notice we didn’t use the word investor) must identify the correct moment to exit the market and ALSO identify the correct moment to re-enter the market. In addition, the trade must cover all the commissions and taxes that are associated with the decision. Over long periods of time equity markets tend to rise, so by timing the market you are also swimming against the tide of growth. The likelihood is that all those factors will work against any market timing strategy. So under what conditions would such a strategy be successful if at all?

The answer lies in the arena of market efficiency. At Cidel we believe that markets are semi-efficient, which means that markets incorporate all public information into prices and that if there are gains to be made it is from insights uncovered through detailed proprietary research. Putting this into perspective, ask yourself how many people in the market don’t know that Donald Trump is running for president, and that there is some possibility that he may win. Of course most people know this fact and have been incorporating this possibility into the prices of assets, not only in the US but across the globe (e.g. recent gyrations of the Mexican peso).  For any trading strategy to be successful, a trader must have access to information that is not public or, in this case, have an insight into Trump’s presidency that other traders do not possess. So a position on Trump or no Trump based simply on personal opinion is unlikely to yield any edge.

If there is an edge to be gained, it is likely in the form of scenario analysis. By that I am referring to possibilities that the market has not priced in because they are not widely considered. For instance, consider the following possibilities. What if Trump drops out of the running prior to the election date? What if Trump wins a narrow majority in the electoral college but loses the vote? Will the electors vote with the win or will they vote contrary to the pledge? What if Clinton wins by a landslide and the Democrats also win majorities in the House and Senate? By working through these scenarios we can get an idea of what markets are likely to do and how we would respond either by buying or selling a specific stock(s). Scenarios combined with our proprietary equity research give us the opportunity to react quickly if there is an exaggerated market movement, no matter how brief.

Ultimately, it is knowing how to manage the risk/opportunity associated with unexpected news that generates returns, rather than trying to aggressively time an event for which the whole market is prepared.

Arthur Heinmaa, CFA

Click here to watch Chief Investment Officer Arthur Heinmaa on Bloomberg TV.

September 2016

Click here to watch Rob Spafford on BNN’s “The Close.”

Click here to watch Karl Berger on BNN’s “The Street.”

Global equities produced modest gains in August, with emerging markets continuing to perform well. 10-year bond yields climbed as investors continued to fixate on the outlook for US monetary policy.

When considering what to do with cash not earmarked for internal investment, corporations have two basic options for returning it to shareholders: either to pay a dividend or to repurchase shares in the market. Market analytics firm FactSet notes that US firms bought back $166.3 billion in shares in the first quarter of 2016, an increase of 15.1% over the same period last year. To put this into context, FactSet calculates that this represents a “buyback yield” of 3.3% for the S&P500 index. Should investors care?

The debate over the relative merits of dividends and buybacks can generate surprising levels of passion in the hearts of finance practitioners. Academics would argue that, assuming a company’s share price is fairly valued, there’s no real difference – if company A paid a 10% dividend while company B bought back 10% of their shares, shareholders in company B wanting immediate income could sell 10% of their holdings to have the same amount of cash and proportional interest in the company as their counterparts in company A. Without selling, their percentage interest in the company would have increased by 10%, so while the total value of the company would be unchanged, the value of each holding would be 10% higher. Logistics company Expeditors International described it as the corporate finance equivalent of a Miller Lite (“Tastes Great/Less Filling”) commercial.  In the real world, however, there are some more nuanced factors to take into consideration.

When buybacks initially rose to popularity in the 1990s, dividends were taxed at a higher rate than capital gains – a bias that created a clear argument in favour of buybacks. After the tax treatment of dividends was reformed, this argument evaporated, though buybacks didn’t. A popular justification, particularly considering broader market supply and demand for equities, is that ongoing buyback activity creates a natural demand for stock and can act as a tailwind to share prices. Goldman Sachs expects $450 billion in total share repurchases during 2016, creating the largest single source of demand for US equities. However, buybacks invariably dry up in a sharp market downturn. Ideally, a company would buy back stock when its share price is trading at an overly depressed level and stop (or issue stock) when shares are overvalued. Canadian insurer Fairfax Financial is one of the few companies that (tries) to do this.

There are counterarguments, of course. Firstly, many companies buy back substantial amounts of shares to offset incentive shares issued to management, leaving the total number of shares outstanding unchanged while simultaneously downplaying the income statement impact of share options. More broadly, share repurchases can interact with badly designed management incentive schemes to encourage decisions not necessarily in the shareholders best long-term interest, for example aggressively buying back shares rather than investing in a long-term project, or borrowing large sums of money to finance buybacks. While the mathematical justification certainly exists in the current low interest rate environment, the potential for unintended consequences down the road exists as well.

At Cidel, we ultimately have a bias in favour of dividends not least because of their tangible nature, however, a solid understanding of a company’s sustainability and underlying cash flows is the most important basis for sound investment decisions.

 

By , September 13, 2016

Cidel Asset Management Inc. manages the Toron AMI Balanced Strategy.

Toron AMI’s Balanced Portfolio fund is designed for a broad range of investors as a complete
portfolio solution. Investors benefit from access to the firm’s multiple investment strategies in one
balanced investment. Read the Fact Sheet for a full overview of this strategy.

For information about performance, view this summary from the eVestment Database.

 

Note: Toron AMI and Benchmark performance is gross of applicable management fees.

August 2016

Over the course of July, equities shrugged off their Brexit inspired swoon, with the MSCI World Index gaining just over 4%, largely upon the perception that central banks would act to offset any economic impact of the UK decision. The Canadian dollar fell modestly against its US counterpart, and the yield on the US 30-year treasury fell 10 basis points.

While it is generally accepted that the various programs of Quantitative Easing (QE) – injecting cash into the economy by buying bonds – carried out by Central Banks have been successful in terms of supporting the economy, it’s also apparent that they haven’t delivered the boost to growth and inflation some of their more enthusiastic advocates hoped for. Likewise, the move to impose negative interest rates seems to some extent to have been counterproductive thus far, due to the negative impact on commercial bank profitability. Obviously believers in the maxim “if at first you don’t succeed”, many opinion leaders are now advocating even more out-of-the-box policies- particularly the concept of ‘helicopter money’.

While it creates a fantastic mental image, helicopter money is actually a metaphor put forward by economist Milton Friedman and popularised in a 2002 speech by Ben Bernanke when he was a Fed Governor. The basic concept is that if the central bank created money and gave it to the government, which in turn used it to invest in infrastructure, say, or cut taxes, the resulting boost to aggregate demand in the economy would stimulate growth. While this sounds in effect the same as QE, there is a crucial difference. In a QE program, the central bank is exchanging one asset (cash) for another (bonds issued by the government). The government still has to repay those bonds, albeit now to the central bank rather than the previous private sector holder. While the mechanics could take several forms, a program of helicopter money would effectively supply fresh cash to the economy but with no corresponding government liability. From the perspective of the private sector, QE leaves their net assets the same but alters the mix; helicopter money on the other hand serves to increase their net assets.

On paper this sounds like a good idea- public spending and a boost to people’s incomes should have a stronger direct economic impact than relying on some spill over from higher asset prices arising from QE. Likewise the absence of incremental government borrowing reduces the risk of upward pressure on interest rates. However as is always the case there are a number of significant potential pitfalls (setting aside questions of the legality of such action). The credibility of central banks lies to a large degree on their independence from the government, and a perception that they are in reality subject to political influence could therefore threaten the effectiveness of future actions. Short term success in stimulating the economy could also take government focus off attempts to enact more difficult longer term reforms. Finally, the achievable boost to demand is debatable if any increase in household income is perceived to be one-off in nature- for this reason spending on infrastructure and so forth is preferable to a one off transfer payment to members of the public.

Overall it is likely that the risks to central bank credibility will prevent a wholehearted adoption of helicopter money. Certainly the Bank of Japan, considered by some the most likely candidate to put it into practice, recently disappointed markets with their failure to do so. That said the temptation is there and will intensify should the current underwhelming growth trends persist. Overall we return to the sentiment expressed in last month’s note- the importance of selectively investing in companies with underlying business characteristics that give them control over their own destinies.

Click here to read a Wealth Professional article on the global appeal of Canadian telecoms, featuring our portfolio manager Rob Spafford.

Click here to watch Karl Berger on BNN’s ‘The Close.’

Click here to read this Canadian Business magazine about investing in a low interest rate environment, featuring our Chief Investment Officer Arthur Heinmaa.

July 2016

For the quarter ended June 30th, equity markets returns were up slightly from the previous quarter and are now positive for the year. Year to date, the S&P returned 3.28%, the MSCI 0.12%, the TSX 9.8% and bonds 4%.  Of course the big news was the result of the Brexit vote and the stunning decision by the citizens of the UK to leave the European Union. This result continues to reverberate across financial markets with equity markets almost recovering their losses following the vote. In contrast however, the global bond markets have not returned to their pre-Brexit levels. This month we will look at what this decline in yields might mean for the economy and investors.

Thirty years ago interest rates stood at over 15% and many people were losing their homes because they were unable to afford the higher mortgage payments due to increasing mortgage rates. Never in their wildest dreams did anyone expect to see today’s 10-year Canadian bond rates at 1% and 30 year bond rates at 1.60%. In the week after the Brexit vote long term (30 year) yields dropped by 0.45%, an amazing move in the bond market, and they remain at those low levels. What is implied by these interest rates?

The first implication of these low rates is that global growth will remain muted. The economy will stumble along, but it is unlikely that we will return to the 3% growth rates of the past. Low interest rates over the past 8 years have encouraged companies and individuals to spend/consume today, essentially bringing forward consumption from the future to today. The direct consequence of that policy is to dampen demand in the future. Anyone who really had an intention to spend or expand has already done so, and hence lower demand lies ahead. Lower demand will translate into anemic growth.

The second implication is that inflation is expected to remain low. Many market observers forecast increasing inflation rates as both the Fed and European Central Bank embarked on quantitative easing and central bank balance sheets expanded. This has not proven to be the case, and indeed the market is now forecasting that the first interest rate increase will now take place no earlier than 2019.  Without sufficient demand the economy will fall chronically short of potential, resulting in little or no inflation. Therefore, we shouldn’t expect inflation to push interest rates higher.

The third implication, which is actually more of a question, is why the government is not spending on needed infrastructure projects. Adjusting for inflation, long-term Canadian and US interest rates, i.e. the borrowing cost for the government, are at or below zero. In many other countries interest rates are below zero even before inflation adjustments. It would be reasonable to assume that there should be some infrastructure investments that would produce a benefit that is greater than zero. As most of us would agree, public transportation would be high on the list, as would road repairs. Unfortunately however, there seems to be little will for governments to spend money – even at these low interest rates.   Until that changes don’t expect the growth picture to change.

In this low growth environment it is more important than ever to be selective about the securities you purchase because tepid economic growth will not bail out a struggling company, and indeed it will serve to exacerbate the financial implications of corporate mistakes.

Arthur Heinmaa, CFA
CEO, Cidel Asset Management
Chief Investment Officer

 

Click here to see Karl Berger on Bloomberg TV, discussing investing in global markets.

CEO Craig Rimer is featured in this Wealth Professional article. Click here to read about what sets Cidel apart from the ‘Big Five’ Canadian banks.

June 2016

In a huge surprise, the UK voted to leave the European Union.  This decision immediately reverberated through global financial markets with Sterling dropping over 10% versus the US dollar, dropping to a 31 year low, equity markets declining over 5% and the 30 year bond rising 4%.   To put things in perspective, the Dow Jones Industrials were up 500 points in the previous 5 days and are expected to lose 500 points at today’s opening.  Where financial markets will settle is still unknown but we wanted to share some of our initial thoughts on this historic day.

1. Is this the beginning of another financial crisis?

This is not another Lehman.  The voting results surprised yesterday’s consensus, resulting in dramatic short term moves in the market but this decision in no way undermines the financial system.   The banking system today is better capitalized and less leveraged than at any time in recent memory.   This vote is not the same as the financial crisis of 2008.  Investors should not liquidate their portfolios thinking that we are on the brink of a financial collapse.   What we have experienced is a global repricing of financial assets based on the prospects for lower growth in the future.

2. What are the key things to consider?

In our view there are three important features of this vote to consider.  First, the vote is clearly a vote against the establishment.  Almost universally economists, business leaders and academics supported and campaigned for the remain side.  Despite the reasoned, logical arguments put forth by the remain side, voters rejected those arguments and instead sided with the populist anti-immigration anti-Europe leave campaign.  Indeed those cheering the results are none other than Donald Trump, Marie  Le Pen and Frauke Pettry (Alternative for Germany) all of whom are campaigning as the anti-establishment candidates in their countries.

Second, there was a dramatic split between the young (under 35) and the old (over 60) with the young voting almost 75% in favour of remaining in the EU and an equally large portion of the older population voting to leave.  In the abstract this result is disheartening because the younger population will have to live with a decision that they clearly did not want.   Only time will tell if this decision lingers in the minds of younger voters when it comes time to make decisions on pensions and healthcare for retirees.

Third, there was a large split in the vote between the large urban areas and the rural areas.   London, Edinburgh, Liverpool and  Manchester all voted to stay with the bulk of the smaller regions voting to leave.  The polarization of voting was remarkable and we think it is an indication of how the smaller regions believe that they have been bypassed in this new era of globalization.

This pattern of voting is not unique to the UK.   It is likely that we will see a similar pattern in Spain on June 26th and in the US this fall.  This polarization between the young and old, urban and rural and the establishment and populists will only increase political uncertainty in any future election.   All of which will make it riskier for corporations to make longer term capital commitments.

3. What are the consequences for the economy?

Overall we should expect lower growth in the future.   In times of market turbulence we regularly look at what is happening in the fixed income markets to validate or refute what is happening in equity markets.   The US long bond dropped from a yield of 2.56% to 2.39% in the space of a few hours.   It might seem like a minor move but in fixed income markets this move is nothing short of remarkable.  It is a clear indication that the expectation will be for lower growth and lower rates for a longer period of time.

The reasons for lower growth are straightforward and both are rooted in the uncertainty surrounding the timing, terms and conditions of the UK exiting the euro.  Corporations in Europe or doing business in Europe will be more cautious and will delay or slow investment in that region until the terms of business are clear.   Given the size of the European economy this will have an impact on the prospects for global growth.

For the individual, particularly in Europe, our suspicion is that they will be more risk averse and accumulate savings rather than spending or investing.  This situation will act as a brake on growth and might drive interest rates even lower throughout the European area and the rest of the developed world.

4. Should I adjust my portfolio?

The answer is no.  The instinct to run to cash is always powerful in times of uncertainty and it is important to fight that sentiment and stick to a disciplined plan.   Rarely do short term emotional decisions work out well.   One can’t trade on yesterday’s prices so the decisions must be based on what the prices are today and more importantly what they might be in the future.  Hence, the important activity will be to incorporate this new reality into our valuation models and make appropriate changes to holdings and asset allocations if required.

The past 24 hours have been unlike anything we have seen since the UK withdrew from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM).    We will continue to monitor markets and will make changes to your portfolios only if it is warranted by valuation concerns and not emotion.

Please feel free to contact your Cidel Consultant if you have any other questions.

Arthur Heinmaa
Chief Investment Officer, Asset Management

Click here to watch Karl Berger on BNN’s “The Street.”

Charles Lannon was interviewed by the Financial Post. Click here to read about our view on the current bull market, and some of the holdings in our Global Equity mandate.

Portfolio manager Stephen Caldwell gives The Globe and Mail some of his favourite stocks in the healthcare sector. Click here to read.

May saw a rebounding US dollar adding to returns on US assets for Canadian investors. Other international markets made some headway too. The strong US dollar pressured several commodities, although oil worked its way higher. Despite experiencing some volatility, US long bonds ended the month largely unchanged.

US companies are required to file audited financial statements prepared according to Generally Accepted Accounting Practices (GAAP), determined by the Financial Accounting Standard Board (similar requirements exist in other countries). However, companies may also report earnings on a pro forma basis, incorporating adjustments to GAAP earnings to reflect what they would like investors to see as the company’s underlying earnings power. While it is true that investors should be looking forward to a company’s future earnings potential and not focus on short term, ‘one-off’ developments, it would not be cynical to think managements use pro forma earnings to paint the most flattering picture possible, a task made easier by the relative freedom to decide which adjustments to make. Currently the spread between GAAP and pro forma earnings for the S&P 500 is running at 30%, a difference last seen in the third quarter of 2009 when companies were still cleaning up their books after the financial crisis. Combined with the current anaemic level of earnings growth, commentators are increasingly concerned that companies are becoming more aggressive in papering-over deteriorating fundamentals. Likewise the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has made it clear that they intend to question more companies about how they arrive at their pro forma figures, indicating that they will be placing this issue under increased scrutiny. Should investors be concerned?

While a degree of caution makes sense, a review of historical trends and a closer look at the current situation would argue against overreacting. Firstly, 20 companies alone account for in excess of 50% of the pro forma/GAAP spread; secondly, oil and gas impairment charges are, as would be expected, running at high levels. Finally, the spread between pro forma and GAAP estimates hasn’t been a great predictor of future market performance; indeed, the divergence is often greatest around a market bottom, when companies are writing down all sorts of assets in the middle of a recession. However, conclusions drawn from the aggregate picture don’t necessarily hold when looking at individual stocks. It’s always important to be aware of accounting issues, whether or not the market is paying as much attention as it should.

At Toron AMI, our investment process explicitly includes a review of earnings quality and the appropriateness of adjustments included in pro forma numbers. We accept the case that genuine one-off events, such as restructurings, should be considered (although a surprising number of companies exist in a world of rolling restructurings), but we take a highly skeptical view of certain common non-cash adjustments. First, adding back the cost of management stock options as a non-cash expense is debatable because ultimately these options result in dilution to existing shareholders or a cash outflow to buy back shares and offset the dilution. Second, we are cautious about adding back the amortisation of acquired intangible assets because the intangible itself was purchased with shareholder funds; it’s almost like adding back depreciation of fixed assets.

While some degree of pragmatism is ultimately required, we take care to consider any material adjustments in pro forma earnings in our valuation work. By incorporating this discipline into every investment decision we make, together with consideration of management track records and other key factors, we focus our attention only those investments offering a favourable balance of risk and reward.

May 2016

A rebounding Canadian dollar saw gains on international equities translate into modest losses for the month of April. Commodity prices and related shares did well, although the sustainability of their outperformance is an open question. US 10-year Government bond yields moved modestly higher.

On June 23, British citizens will take to the polls in a referendum over ‘Brexit’ – whether the UK will remain a member of the European Union – a decision with important ramifications for both sides.

Among those favouring Brexit, there is undoubtedly some nostalgia for a bygone age of ‘warm beer and cricket’. However, advocates also point to the costs (both direct and indirect) of EU membership, which have been estimated as high as 11% of GDP. Obviously estimating indirect costs (e.g. those due to ‘excessive’ regulation, etc.) is highly subjective. Particularly concerning for London, a financial hub (financial services are 12% of UK GDP), are EU proposals to introduce a financial transaction tax, among other regulations. Another concern is the impact of immigration from EU states. Although the UK’s ability to attract young, well-educated EU immigrants was a significant factor in the OECD’s reappraisal of the UK’s trend growth rate from 1% to 2%, this favourable view is far from universal – the last general election saw significant defection of traditional blue-collar support from the Labour Party to the Eurosceptic UKIP. Finally, there is a sense that the EU will inexorably move toward ‘ever closer union’, leaving the UK increasingly marginalised; therefore leaving now is perceived as the lesser of two evils.

In the other corner, supporters of the status quo point to Britain’s trade privileges as a member of the sizeable EU market and to the ability of financial firms based in London to operate in EU markets with a ‘single passport’. Proponents also emphasise the benefits of immigration, pointing to studies that EU migrants are net contributors to public finances. Brexit would have an immediate negative impact on the economy, and subsequent growth, they claim, would not offset it. Finally, it might not be as easy for the UK to preserve the current trade benefits with the EU as Brexit advocates assume. The potential for a yes vote is causing concern in Brussels, not least because of its potential to spread to other members.

The demographics of support for the two camps are interesting. ‘Remain’ is most popular with the younger 18-29 year old cohort, whereas ‘Leave’ is the choice among those 50+. Given that different age groups have different propensities to vote this could lead to an outcome quite different from that suggested by polls. Similarly, support for staying in the EU is strongest in the highest socio-economic group, and strongest for leaving in the lowest – a reminder that individual circumstances can cause the day-to-day impact (real or perceived) of events to vary significantly.

Polls currently read neck-and-neck, with marginal gains in favour of exit. Online betting markets, however, are pointing to a decisive vote in favour of remaining in the EU. Should the vote favour Brexit, the UK would have 2 years to negotiate a new relationship with the EU, during which the status quo would continue to apply. If two years pass without agreement, membership will cease unless an extension is agreed upon. Although a leave vote will not result in immediate changes to the UK’s status, the subsequent period of uncertainty could well have a negative impact on the economy and Sterling. While Toron AMI’s global portfolios are currently underweight in the UK market, we have an open mind and are watching closely, ready to take advantage of any opportunities arising over the coming months.

Click here to watch Pierre Bouchard on BNN’s ‘The Close.’

Click here to watch Stephen Caldwell on BNN’s ‘The Business News.’

Click here to watch Pierre Bouchard on BNN’s ‘The Close.’

Click here to watch Karl Berger on BNN’s ‘The Close.’

Click here to watch Rob Spafford on BNN’s ‘The Close.’

Click here to watch Karl Berger on BNN’s ‘The Street.’

April 2016

Looking solely at the returns for the quarter ended March 31st, equity markets hardly changed from the beginning of the year: the S&P returned 0.60%, the MSCI -0.90% , the TSX +4.5% while bonds returned about 1.5%. However the quarter was in fact quite volatile. Equity markets declined over 10% at one point, oil hit a new low at $26.05 and corporate bond yields spiked to levels not seen since 2009. It would have been easy to lose money trying to time the ups and downs of this market. The best results were achieved by resisting the urge to trade.

Media reports and investors focused on the movement in equity markets, but the prevalence of negative interest rates across the globe is an even bigger story. Not long ago, negative interest rates seemed related to concerns over the possibility of a Greek default. However, their persistence, and in some cases their adoption as an explicit monetary policy tool, has real implications. Currently, there is about $7 trillion in bonds which trade at negative yields – not an inconsequential sum. An investor in Switzerland could purchase a 5-year bond for CHF103.50, earn no interest and receive CHF100 in 5 years’ time – in effect locking in an annual interest rate of -0.70%. In other words, investors pay CHF3.50 to guarantee CHF100 in 5 years. This situation is entirely foreign to Canadian and US investors.

In Canada, we view current interest rates as extraordinarily low at 0.70% for a 5-year government bond. However, we are a high-yielding country! Most investors would be surprised to discover that among developed countries, only the US, Greece, Portugal and Iceland offer higher yields; even Spain now yields less than Canada. As a result, Canadians should not be so quick to assume that our interest rates will move higher soon and any further economic weakness and Canada may find itself joining the negative interest rate club. But in the global search for yield, Canada currently offers a compelling investment opportunity – positive yields, especially for European institutional investors, for whom negative interest rates are a fact of life. Rather than charge small depositors a negative interest rate, European banks have partially absorbed the interest cost and raised service fees.

So, what does this situation mean for most investors?  First, negative interest turns conventional financial wisdom on its head. For example, although deferring taxes on investments has generally been advisable, in the world of negative rates this is no longer the wisest course of action. In fact, you may want to accelerate your tax payments – a dollar today is worth more than it will be in the future. Shrewd Swiss citizens have attempted to prepay taxes, but the government has now forbidden paying anything but current taxes. This is but a small window into the world of negative interest rates.

Second, and most importantly, investors must consider how this kind of interest rate environment impacts retirement plans. Many simple retirement calculators blithely assume that fixed income returns will work out to their long term averages of about 6% per annum. Given the current interest rate levels (0.70% 5 yr. – 1.40% 10 yr.), those returns are simply unrealistic. Even at today’s interest rates, many investors are losing money after taxes and inflation are taken into account. To achieve higher rates, investors must consider corporate bonds, preferred shares and alternative investments as part of their overall bond allocation. Our team is focussed on finding companies with the ability to increase dividends at rates well above inflation and on constructing preferred portfolios that avoid common mistakes with this asset class, thus reducing potential future problems for our clients.

Negative interest rates, once considered a historic anomaly, have become a common fixture in today’s fixed income markets. We can no longer assume that Canada will follow its own path to higher rates. To be successful, investors have to consider the implications of negative rates to understand how to alter their current portfolio or what action to take if Canadian rates fall, gulp, below zero.

March 2016

Listen here to an internal interview with Charles Lannon, the head of Toron AMI’s Global Equity strategy. He has just returned from a research trip to Japan and Singapore and in the interview he discusses his trip, including the general mood among business executives, the economy, and the companies he met with.

If you have any questions, do follow up with your relationship manager or contact bree.callahan@toron-ami.com for more information about the Conversation Series.


Disclaimer: Past performance is not an indication of future results. The content contained in this document is for information purposes only. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for purchase or sale of any security or financial instrument, nor is it advice or a recommendation to enter into any transaction. All individuals should obtain specific professional advice.

With the Republican and Democrat nomination processes drawing to a close, campaigning for the November US election will soon begin in earnest. Given the current frontrunners, it certainly promises to be an interesting few months, to say the least. Should investors care? A theory which was once in vogue described the Presidential Cycle, where pre-election promises and fiscal initiatives designed to bolster voter sentiment led to a stronger market in the election year and the preceding one, while the reversal of those initiatives in the following two years led to weaker returns. Certainly there is some intuitive appeal to the theory. It did seem to hold true  for a while, which of course led to its gaining popularity, but as is often the case over a longer period its effectiveness has become less compelling- 2008 was an election year, for example. Whether this is a case of mistaking correlation for causation or a reflection of changes over time in the structure of the US economy is an interesting topic for thought.

Considering the election year specifically, research by Deutsche Bank shows that since 1960, the fourth year of the presidential election cycle has seen the S&P 500 produce a capital return of 6.5%, versus a rise of 7.9% for all years; excluding 2008 the respective figures become 9.1% and 8.8%- a negligible difference. Looking within the year, work by Ned Davis Research shows that stocks tend to struggle during the first half of election years, bottoming on average in May. The timing of a more constructive market environment tends to coincide with emerging clarity as to who the eventual winner will be, regardless of who it is.

Overall, while we do not advocate making investment decisions on any short term or seasonal theme, we think it’s reasonable to expect some pick up in volatility in the run up to the election, especially given the likelihood of some controversial policies being floated. Our base case though is that as in the past once a better picture emerges of who the eventual winner will be, it will be discounted as the outcome and the election will fade as a source of investor uncertainty (no doubt to be replaced by something else!) Of the two most likely candidates, Clinton is generally felt to represent the status quo and as a result be the most ‘market friendly’; Trump on the other hand is a bit more of a loose cannon but the fact of the matter is that any presidential legislation has to make it through Congress; an extended period of gridlock would be the likely result, leaving investors to focus on the broader fundamental picture.

February 2016

Global equity markets started the New Year on a glum note as December’s optimism turned to disappointment as stocks around the globe sold off in January. By some accounts this was the worst start to the year since the 1930s, although a rebound mid-month pared losses. Government bonds posted gains, due in part to “safe haven” buying. The Canadian dollar hit a low against its US counterpart, dipping below 0.69 before rebounding to just short of 0.72 at the end the month.

Overall, sentiment has turned more negative on the outlook for global growth, but it is always difficult to determine in the short term whether this caused markets to fall or vice versa. Policymakers have been active, with the Bank of Japan adopting negative rates on new deposits and the Fed starting to sound a bit doubtful about their outlook and, by implication, the timing of further rate increases. The VIX index, a closely watched measure of market expectations of near-term volatility embedded in S&P 500 stock index option prices, rose sharply before settling back to the 20 level (about its average level since inception in 1990 – the low to mid-teens level that persisted for much of last year being very much an anomaly).

So what, in reality has changed? The decline in oil prices accelerated back in October of last year, and Chinese shares have been in more or less constant free-fall for the last 6 months. While earnings growth for US companies has ground to a halt, this was expected and doesn’t appear to be worsening.

What appears to be at work is that investors are increasingly considering the broader implications of what until now have commonly been viewed as discrete events. In particular, the ability of companies exposed to commodity prices to service their often considerable debt loads has led to concerns over a looming pick up in defaults, and the exposure of the banking system to losses. More broadly, persistently low inflation and a subdued growth outlook has investors pondering the build-up of corporate debt over the past few years.

While we do expect corporate debt levels to be an issue for 2016, we certainly do not anticipate a debacle like 2008 since there is currently no problem with the enormity of the US mortgage market and the magnifying effect of difficult (or impossible) to value financial instruments. That’s not to say that the market won’t be prone to fits of uncertainty however, and an uptick in loan losses could reasonably be expected to pressure bank lending at the margin. A stabilisation in commodity (particularly oil) prices is, in our view, an obvious catalyst for a more constructive market environment as it will help in assessing the magnitude of whatever credit issues there are; it’s probably not a coincidence that stocks and oil both bottomed on the same day in January.

In conclusion, there probably will be some credit issues and other surprises in store for 2016. However given the strength of bank balance sheets (in the US at least), any problems should be manageable and contained to companies that have painted themselves into a corner through bad financial planning. Toron AMI’s portfolios have limited direct commodity exposure, and those companies with exposure have a solid financial profile. Likewise our emphasis on balance sheet strength and durability of cash flows leads us to invest in companies that are well positioned to take advantage of any opportunities 2016 might bring.

January 2016

Listen here to last week’s open conference call, where we discussed the Canadian preferred share market. Preferred share returns were down significantly in 2015, listen here to learn about the opportunity this presents.

We welcome your questions and suggestions for next month’s call. Send them in to bree.callahan@toron-ami.com.


Disclaimer: Past performance is not an indication of future results. The content contained in this document is for information purposes only. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for purchase or sale of any security or financial instrument, nor is it advice or a recommendation to enter into any transaction. All individuals should obtain specific professional advice.

Click here to watch Rob Spafford on BNN’s Market Call!

Sound and Fury, Signifying Nothing

The end of the year is a good time for a moment of reflection to consider your successes and failures as an investor. An objective review of investment decisions, performance and risk is a cornerstone of a good portfolio management process. Let’s look at some lessons of the past year and talk about a couple of key risks for 2016.

2015 can be summed up with a quote from Macbeth; “…full of sound and fury, signifying nothing”. The S&P was up only 1.5% and 10 year US bond yields were up only 0.06% to 2.26%. The Canadian market performed poorly with the TSX down just over 8% and the 10 year yield dropping 0.30% to finish the year at 1.45%. The route to these results was tumultuous as both equity and bond markets experienced some of their largest intraday moves in history.

During 2015, three unforeseeable events had huge portfolio implications for unprepared investors. The first was the almost 17% drop in the Canadian dollar – the second largest drop ever. Toron AMI always advocates that investors maintain consistent exposure to assets outside of the Canadian market. In 2015, this discipline helped your portfolio generate good returns in a difficult environment. The lesson? You need to access the deepest, broadest set of investment opportunities to take advantage of the risk reduction that portfolio diversification provides.

The second event was when the Swiss central bank abandoned its pledge to limit the appreciation of the Swiss Franc vs. the Euro. While this had a limited impact on your portfolios, it speaks to the issue of central bank credibility. If investors start questioning a central bank’s commitment to a policy, it makes a central bank’s ability to shape investor expectations even more difficult. The lesson? You can’t always count on central banks to keep their word and should incorporate that uncertainty into your portfolio construction and asset allocation.

The third surprise was the further 20% drop in oil prices – along with the overall commodity index. Early in 2015 there was so much optimism that oil prices would rebound, that many investors plowed large percentages of their portfolios into energy, only to see dramatic losses. It was not being wrong that torpedoed these investors; it was the size of the position relative to their overall portfolios. The Toron AMI exposure to energy had only a small impact on your portfolio, more than offset by other investments. The lesson? A properly diversified portfolio limits the damage from a single large economic event: “risk not thy whole wad”.

Looking forward to 2016, it seems there is more uncertainty than we have seen in years. Any number of unanticipated factors could easily alter the economic outlook materially and invalidate even the most thoughtful forecasts. In no particular order, some things we are thinking about:
• What would a Trump/Cruz presidency do to markets?
• Is OPEC going to change its oil price policy?
• Will the US consumer continue to spend?
• What if we have more terrorist events in the US and Europe?
• Can the Chinese government continue to orchestrate growth?
• Can commodities rise without an increasing Chinese growth rate?
• What if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates too quickly?
• Why is productivity not recovering?

You can drive yourself crazy thinking about all of the potential risks. The key is to ensure that no single event dominates the return on your portfolio. It is this risk management ethos that continues to be central to our portfolio management approach: we spend as much time thinking about risk as we do thinking about returns. If you get the risk management process right, the returns will look after themselves.

I wish all of you a happy and prosperous 2016.

Arthur Heinmaa, CFA
Managing Partner

Chief Investment Officer Arthur Heinmaa offers commentary on recent market volatility: Read Here

December 2015

Listen here to last week’s open conference call, where we discussed AirBnB and its competitive threat to the travel industry. You may be surprised at what you hear!

We welcome your questions and suggestions for next month’s call. Send them in to bree.callahan@toron-ami.com


Disclaimer: Past performance is not an indication of future results. The content contained in this document is for information purposes only. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for purchase or sale of any security or financial instrument, nor is it advice or a recommendation to enter into any transaction. All individuals should obtain specific professional advice.

Watch here to see Stephen Caldwell on BNN!

Global markets and interest rates broadly finished November close to where they started, masking some volatility over the course of the month. The Canadian dollar weakened against its U.S. counterpart in sympathy with commodity prices.

It has been almost 30 years since Francis Fukuyama’s essay ‘The End of History?’ put forward the thesis that the end of the Cold War and the victory of Western liberal democracy heralded a much less eventful era for geopolitics. While that seemed like a reasonable expectation as the Berlin Wall was dismantled in 1989, anyone who has been paying the remotest attention in recent years would conclude that it has turned out to be a rosy tinted forecast indeed.

Recent months have seen events happen around the world that underline how fortunate so many of us are to live our lives in relative peace and harmony. Nobody knows what the future will bring, but how should we as investors consider the impact of what we will term ‘crisis events’ on our portfolios? While the human impact is all too real, and it is reasonable to expect an economic impact to shaken consumer confidence, what does this mean for markets?

The evidence strongly suggests the financial market impact of ‘crisis events’ is fleeting and largely a short-term reaction to headlines rolling across the screen. A study by Ned Davis Research looked at a sample of 50 crisis events dating back to 1907 and stemming from both financial and geopolitical developments in order to measure the immediate and subsequent impact on the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index. The study found a mean loss of 6.8% in the immediate aftermath of the event, but what about the long term?

The study showed that despite immediate losses, the markets showed mean gains of 3.7%, 5.2%, 9.0% and 14% over the subsequent 22, 63, 126 and 253 days respectively. The three events with the biggest market impacts (the 1907 collapse of Knickerbocker Trust, the 1929 Crash and Black Monday in 1987) were all financial in nature and by definition therefore associated with substantial market losses. However even in these cases, the index produced positive returns in all of the subsequent periods measured and recouped a substantial portion of those immediate losses. The biggest loss after 253 days (38.1%) occurred following the collapse of Bear Stearns in 2008; a period where events in the financial sector were unfolding at rapid speed and with cumulative impact.

So in the face of crisis events what should we do as investors? We are all human and understandably experience human emotions upon reading the headlines after major world events. Tempting as it might be, the evidence strongly suggests that reacting to any immediate market movements is not the right course of action – a welcome reminder to maintain a long-term view as we start to look ahead to what 2016 might have to offer.

Watch Rob Spafford discuss investing in railroads on Market Call on November 25, 2015

November 2015

A look at some of the month’s most interesting articles, presentations, and commentary.

*Click Here: http://cidel.com/downloads/newsletter/ 

Six years ago we brought on a valuable partner in Cidel. At that time Cidel acquired a majority interest in our firm and immediately became an integral part of Toron AMI, helping us grow and deliver on our promise to our clients.

We are very proud to announce that as of the end of October, the partners of Toron AMI have exchanged their shares in Toron AMI for shares in Cidel. Some of our partners also took the opportunity to increase their level of shareholdings – a strong vote of confidence in our future.

For our firm, this event marks an important step in our plan to become a leading international investment manager and private bank. For our clients, it means we will continue to offer top tier investment solutions and superior counselling by our highly qualified team. In days coming, the portfolio management team from Cidel will be integrated with the existing Toron AMI team under my leadership, deepening our investment management capabilities for all our clients. In time, our extended partnership will provide the added benefit of Cidel’s global private banking services.

Nothing will change in our clients’ interactions with portfolio managers and in the way we manage portfolios. Clients can expect the same level of personal service experienced over the years with Toron AMI.

For me, and for all of us at Toron AMI, this is an exciting development as our firm evolves in the spirit of partnership. We are dedicated to providing exceptional professional talent to serve our clients for many years to come.

Arthur Heinmaa
Chief Executive Officer & Chief Investment Officer
Toron Asset Management International | Cidel Financial Group

Listen here to our open conference call, where we discuss the biggest themes looking ahead in capital markets and answer questions sent in by clients.

We welcome your questions for next month’s call! Send them in to bree.callahan@toron-ami.com.

In October, stock markets rebounded substantially from losses experienced in the proceeding months. Bond markets experienced some weakness.

October 21, 2015 was immortalised in the 1980’s movie ‘Back to the Future Part 2’ as the date the two principal characters time travel to in a silver DeLorean sports car. The tranquil market environment that persisted for most of 2015 came to an end over the last couple of months with a marked pick up in volatility attributed to a variety of factors, from Chinese growth to U.S. interest rate policy. So far there have been 61 days with a move in the S&P 500 in excess of 1%, ahead of the long term average of 54. While the end of the year typically sees volatility abate, the potential for a Fed tightening cycle to commence in December has the potential to negate this trend. What lessons can we take from the past to interpret future volatile investment environments?

In a 1981 paper the renowned economist Robert Shiller noted that movements in stock prices were excessive relative to subsequent changes in the dividend stream those prices represent. Shiller has returned to this topic several times, considering the role of investor psychology versus rational reactions to changes in fundamentals as a catalyst for episodes of market volatility. In the aftermath of the global market crash in October 1987, he surveyed individual and institutional investors over their behaviour during that period. While the passage of time has developed a narrative for the factors causing the crash, the responses paint a different picture. The survey did not come up with any particular news event that was a catalyst for the sell-off, although there were concerns expressed about valuation and interest rates. Rather, there was a strong belief that investor psychology rather than any change in fundamentals what the main factor at play, with a “contagion of fear” experienced by 40% of institutional investors. Interestingly many were influenced by a historical analog with the events on October 1929.

While 1987 was a long time ago, it’s not hard to believe that advances in communication have only facilitated the transmission of changes in market psychology since then. Human nature being what it is, such changes will invariably occur, leading to volatility episodes. It’s probably a good idea to treat any fundamental explanations with a degree of skepticism. In his 1996 Chairman’s Letter Warren Buffett said he “would much rather earn a lumpy 15% over time that a smooth 12%”. At Toron AMI our principal focus is to look at the underlying fundamentals of the companies we invest in to avoid investments likely to experience undue volatility in the underlying businesses, and we view periods of volatility unrelated to changes in the broad environment as opportunities rather than threats.

 

October 2015

Read our quarterly recap and comments on the economy here: Q3 2015 Website Commentary

After almost 4 years of steady increases, investors were reminded this quarter that markets can also go down. Third quarter market returns were down no matter where you invested. The MSCI was down about 9% for the quarter pushing its year to date return to -7.5%. Lead by oil, commodities were down 14.7% for the quarter and 16% YTD. Even the fixed income market was down in all but government bonds, which were barely breakeven. The newspapers kept up a steady drumbeat of worries about Chinese growth. This month, we wanted to look at the size of the China impact and where there is an opportunity for investors.

The declining growth rate in China was cited as the proximate cause for the fall in markets. But how big is China’s impact on the global economy? The world economy, excluding China, is about $60 trillion. China’s imports of goods and services amount to $2 trillion, or about 3.3% of the world economy. But even if China reduces its imports by 20% (a large number), that would translate into a drop of 0.60% in the world’s growth rate. However, the world’s growth rate would still be positive at about 2.5% per year; lower but not catastrophic. The concerns about China’s impact on the global economy seem to be overdone and more about fear than fact.

With any decline in the markets, there are pockets of opportunity. First, the equity market is now selling at 14.2 times next year’s earnings compared to a long-term average of 15.1 times. Recall that the long-term earnings include many decades where long-term interest rates were significantly higher than they are today. So equity valuations look inexpensive not only from a long term perspective but also relative to the 2% return that investors would earn in government bonds. Indeed the dividend yield on both Canadian and US indexes is higher than the 10 year bond yield. Essentially, investors have an income advantage for taking on equity risk. Investing judiciously in this market should still reward the investor with a 2 – 5 year investment horizon.

Corporate bonds have also suffered during the past 6 months. The high-yield bond market is now set to have its first losing year since 2008. The interest rate difference between corporate bonds and government bonds is at level that we have not seen in over 5 years. Overall, investors have become more concerned about a weaker economy and the ability of corporations to pay their bond obligations. However, corporations are generally in better financial condition now than they were 5 years ago, and unless global growth tumbles to zero, it is unlikely that we are going to see a rash of corporate defaults. Though all corporate bonds are not created equal, by scrutinizing the balance sheets, investors can identify good risk-return opportunities in corporate bonds. Currently, investors are earning well above historic averages to invest in corporate bonds.

The fixation on weakened Chinese growth has blinded investors to so many good things in the economy: corporations have stronger balance sheets, cheaper commodity prices are good for consumers, a growing global economy, and stronger wage growth, just to name a few. In turbulent times like these, a steady focus on valuation and risk control will allow investors to take advantage of any market decline.

Arthur Heinmaa, CFA
Managing Partner

September 2015

During the past 6 years we have become accustomed to opening our account statements and seeing values continue to go up. This month, we will see a decline in market values with equity markets off about 4% and bond markets down 1% during August. With the dramatic movement in markets, it is useful to talk about why investors achieve higher rates of return over time by investing in equities.

Most investors think about volatility as market movement on a particular day. Portfolio managers think about volatility as measured by standard deviation – not just in a day but over whole periods of time. Standard deviation is the measure of the “spread” of data: the higher the spread, the higher the standard deviation, the higher the volatility and the risk. The standard deviation defines the risk that we can expect during a given time. For instance, a treasury bill has a known return and maturity date so the price moves very little and correspondingly has very little volatility (or risk). On the opposite end of the spectrum, a small cap equity has no certainty of any return and could have high volatility. In general, we can expect that the greater the uncertainty of the investment, the higher the volatility.

Now here is the key insight: if all we wanted was low volatility, our only option would be to invest in treasury bills, achieving a return of close to zero. If we want a return greater than treasury bills, however, we have to be prepared to assume a greater degree of volatility. Essentially, higher volatility is the price you pay for potentially higher returns.

To understand volatility in returns, consider the case where you have two investments: Investment A has a return of 1% and risk of 1 and Investment B has a return of 10% and a volatility of 5. How to invest becomes a function of how much risk are you willing to tolerate. Over time the second investment would generate a higher rate of return but the price would vary greatly from day to day. By being willing to assume the higher price volatility you can achieve a higher rate of return which illustrates why equity markets have outperformed treasury bills over time.

At Toron AMI we spend as much time on risk as we do on expected returns. We try to make sure that any one event does not unduly impact the portfolio and that the companies in which we invest have the financial strength to thrive in a weak economic environment. By employing a disciplined portfolio construction process, we have been able to reduce the volatility of our portfolios without sacrificing performance.

In today’s volatile markets, some companies on our watch list have dropped to levels where they offer compelling value. We will use this market volatility to purchase those companies and add to any underweight positions. Volatility can be your ally if you take advantage of it.

Arthur Heinmaa, CFA
Managing Partner

Oil prices have dropped drastically over the past year yet oil production globally continues to grow. Why? At Toron AMI, we see two main sources of this growth: OPEC’s increase in production, and improved technological efficiencies in the U.S.

Read all about it in Crude Market Thoughts

August 2015

What are the global relationships that define the price, the availability and the security of oil supply worldwide? Since oil prices began falling almost a year ago, so many questions have arisen. How did we get here?

Read this insightful piece by Tim Hague and the Toron AMI Team to understand the Geopolitics of Oil.

Watch here for Karl Berger’s discussion on the Canadian Dollar : the worst is yet to come.

www.bnn.ca/Video/player.aspx?vid=683419

July 2015

Read our quarterly recap and comments on the economy here: Q2 2015 Website Commentary

 

 

Our roads are clogged, public transit in major Canadian cities pales in comparison to other world class cities and high speed trains simply do not exist.  While estimates on the size of Canada’s infrastructure deficit vary, the conclusion is the same: we have underinvested for years and the amount needed to fix our infrastructure is massive.  It could be as much as $350-$400 billion.  Our quality of life and ability to compete on the global stage depend on the performance and quality of our public infrastructure.

Governments are beginning the address the problem, but commitments are short of what most experts believe will be necessary to meet our future needs. In the recent federal budget, the Government set up an innovative Public Transit Fund, funded at $750 million over the next two years and $1 billion per year after that.  They also promised $5.35 billion per year for municipal, provincial and territorial infrastructure under the New Building Plan.

However with 30-year Government of Canada bond yields at just over 2 percent, it begs the question of whether there will ever be a better time to invest in infrastructure. Government deficits are always a hot topic, but increasingly the public is beginning to understand that there is a big difference between deficits tied to investing in infrastructure and those related to program spending. In personal terms, it’s like a home mortgage debt versus a loan to fund regular monthly expenses. It may be that our governments are missing the opportunity of a lifetime to borrow at the lowest interest rates in over 100 years to invest in an economy that has grown at over 5% annually (well below current rates) over the last 50 years.

We will always need infrastructure to improve the productivity of Canadians so that we can remain competitive. We also need to ‘think outside the box’ and explore many ways to finance improved infrastructure, such as enhancing the productivity of infrastructure services, managing demand through pricing mechanisms and many others identified by the Conference Board of Canada in its influential 2011 report and recent discussions. We can all agree that there is a critical need for investment — how we finance it is an important choice for our future.

May 2015

Attending Berkshire Hathaway’s 50th Annual General Meeting – James Porter, Partner & Managing Director

The world came to Omaha on the weekend and I had the privilege of being there to see Warren Buffett and his partner Charlie Munger hold court at Berkshire Hathaway’s (BH) Annual General Meeting. The meeting itself was unlike any shareholders’ get together that I have witnessed. The venue and the surrounding city were overwhelmed by the devoted who traveled from China to Sweden to help celebrate the company’s 50th anniversary. Just getting a seat was a real adventure. Visiting the BH displays and shopping made the holiday season at the malls comparatively leisurely. As for the shopping (some of it exclusive to the BH AGM), one could visit a model home, buy candy or pick up some underwear (Berky boxers and Berky bras certainly seemed to be big sellers).

The kick-off was a surprisingly slick video comprised of commercials for Berkshire Hathaway companies peddling everything from snacks to banking services, along with humorous skits featuring Warren and Charlie. There was also a medley of Beatles tunes with revised lyrics celebrating 50 years. The famous Q & A lasted for six hours with both men, an octogenarian and a nonagenarian, fielding questions with wry humor.

My favourite anecdotes were Buffett admitting to a quarter of his calories coming from Coca-Cola products, and saying (to paraphrase), “I see a lot of happy people consuming Coke and Dairy Queen treats, I don’t see a lot of smiles on people leaving Whole Foods!”

Some highlights from this Toron AMI partner’s perspective:

  • A company’s culture matters above all. What people do is more important than what they say.
  • Without a doubt, BH has invested well. When asked for five key criteria, they answered they simply don’t work that way. Every business they buy is evaluated, but not with a pre-determined framework.
  • On job cuts that have occurred in companies they invest in and on wages both men were very direct:  They don’t buy companies to make cuts, but they expect efficiently run enterprises. While they each had slightly differing views they both agreed that simply raising the minimum wage is not the best solution; the focus should be on skill development and improvement to socio-economic mobility in the U.S.
  • They are highly optimistic about the future of the U.S. and believe the next generation will be far better off.
  • Charlie Munger spoke at some length about his views on China. He believes that China is finally finding a pathway to release the potential of its people and that U.S. – China trust will be critical to both nations’ futures.  In particular, he cited the work to end corruption as a necessary step for the Chinese people and system.

It was abundantly clear that Buffett and Munger don’t just buy stocks;  they invest in businesses with great long-term potential and superb operators. That certainly strikes a chord with me and my partners at Toron AMI as it is the key to building long-term wealth.

All in all, it was a great experience to be there!

We are pleased to announce that Barry Da Silva has joined the Toron AMI team on May 1st as a Portfolio Manager with investment research responsibility for the Energy sector.

Barry Da Silva’s Background

Barry has extensive analytical and portfolio management experience. He comes to us from one of the country’s larger investment managers, where he was a Canadian equity portfolio manager. Prior to that he spent a decade as an investment analyst and portfolio manager at OMERS, one of the leading Canadian public sector pension plans. There Barry had research responsibilities for a wide variety of industries and developed detailed expertise that he has leveraged as a Portfolio Manager in both the Canadian and U.S. markets. Barry has a B.A. in Commerce and Economics from the University of Toronto, and holds a CFA charter.

 Toron AMI & Our Canadian Equity Team

Barry will be a significant contributor to the team, our process, and our ability to continue providing our clients with excellent Canadian equity investment returns. The Canadian equity team follows a disciplined bottom-up approach to stock picking and portfolio construction. Each portfolio manager within the equity team, led by Bob W. Gibson, is responsible for research on specific industry sectors, and participates in the stock selection and portfolio construction process.

Please contact us should you have any questions or require more information. All of us at Toron AMI are excited about this great addition to our team, and look forward to working with Barry.

 

This weekend, Toron AMI’s James Porter is heading on a road trip to Omaha to attend the Berkshire Hathaway Annual General Meeting and hear from Warren Buffett!

Watch this space next week for Toron AMI’s take on this fascinating event.

April 2015

“The capitalist system is under siege. In recent years business has increasingly been viewed as a major cause of social, environmental, and economic problems… Companies are widely perceived to be prospering at the expense of the broader community. ” This statement appeared in a 2011 Harvard Business Review article by Harvard business professor Michael Porter and management consultant Mark Kramer. Just look at the Occupy movement and how it has spread around the globe to see this observation in action.

The way to combat massive social problems, they propose, is to make business the solution – they call it ‘creating shared value’(CSV). CSV “is not social responsibility, philanthropy, or even sustainability, but a new way to achieve economic success.” It is addressing a social issue with a business model. At its heart, CSV means “businesses must reconnect company success with social progress.”

The CSV idea has injected new energy into the CSR and sustainability movements by rightly advocating a better alignment between a company’s core strategy and the social problems on which it can have an impact. The role of business is so crucial because only it has the capital and knowledge resources to make a difference – both alone and as a partner to NGOs. Watch Michael Porter explain the case for letting business solve massive societal problems like climate change and access to water.

Can these ideas really work? Some degree of rethink is certainly necessary. Companies that embrace these ideas are guided by leaders who value the importance of long-termism – understanding that real value and real wealth are created by adopting a long-term perspective, including the full impacts of their activities and the needs of future generations.

As investors, we need to be aware – but also tolerant – of the short term impacts of long-term thinking, and watch for the new business and investment opportunities as they arise and influence existing industries and ways of doing business.

March 2015

Our very own Pierre Bouchard, partner and portfolio manager was featured in this past Saturday’s La Presse.  To read the full translated text, click here.

For the original text as it appears in La Presse (in French) click here.

While there has been much talk about the destabilizing effects of the oil price drop, as the price stays relatively low it is increasingly important to recognize the opportunities for Canada in this new reality. Perhaps surprisingly to many of us, the Canadian economy is more diversified than is often assumed. In fact, the effects of falling oil prices have likely created conditions which actually provide new opportunities.

This informative piece by Toron AMI’s Pierre Bouchard was initially written for our clients and consultants abroad, but it is also a great primer for Canadians seeking to understand and invest in Canadian markets within a global context.

Read the full report here: Falling Oil Prices – The Canadian Opportunity.

February 2015

Consumers are often attracted to brands that have stood the test of time. For most of us, this is usually measured in decades or perhaps a couple of centuries. We are used to seeing companies come and go over the years, and certainly through generations. American Motors and British Leyland are examples of former giants known to most of the Boomer generation and their parents, but that are no longer standard bearers in today’s automotive industry. Japan, however, is quite different when it comes to company longevity. Even today, you can buy sake in Japan from a company that was in business back in the 1100s.

From our western perspective, we think of Japan as an advanced economy with a strong culture and traditions; we know the country for its global household brand names like Sony and Toyota. But Japan also has one of the world’s fastest aging populations and an economy beset by 20 years of deflation from which it may now be emerging. These are experiences that provide the rest of the world with valuable learning. Despite these recent economic challenges, Japan has been able to foster numerous successful centuries-old companies which are now facing brand new challenges to their existence.

This article is a reminder that change can come quickly – even to things that seem like they’ll last forever. Also, that longevity alone doesn’t create value in a company. Every generation of management and investors needs to ensure that the business is robust and ready for the opportunities and threats that come with change.

Read here as Joe Pinsker of the The Atlantic explores the impact of changes in culture, business and law on some of Japan’s oldest businesses.

 

Read our quarterly recap and comments on the economy here: Q4 Website Commentary

January 2015

Check out Pierre Bouchard and Robert Spafford’s insights on the energy sector’s ripple effects and their top Canadian dividend stock picks in the Report on Business, Globe and Mail, January 14, 2015.

 

Read it here: http://live.theglobeandmail.com/Event/QA_Top_Canadian_dividend_stock_picks_from_Toron_Amis_Pierre_Bouchard

 

Or for Globe Unlimited Subscribers, click here: Q&A: Top Canadian dividend stock picks from Toron AMI’s Pierre Bouchard

December 2014

Read the insightful commentary of our Portfolio Managers here: Q3 2014

November 2014

The senior deputy governor of the Bank of Canada, Carolyn Wilkins, recently discussed the rise of Bitcoin and other e-moneys and how they might eventually amount to a material part of the financial payments system, and empathised the need for Central Banks to be aware of such emerging trends and proactively develop contingencies for the future should the time come that they become material.

What better time to reexamine this important discussion piece our own Stephen Caldwell produced on the Bitcoin phenomenon in December 2013?

Read it here:  Bitcoin Phenomenon TORON AMI

April 2014

In this discussion paper by Pierre Bouchard, read about how climate change concerns and perspectives shape our thinking about investing.

Read it here: TORON AMI and ClimateChange_April2014